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Improving Governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario Forecasting the Next 50years

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  • Joshi, Devin K.
  • Hughes, Barry B.
  • Sisk, Timothy D.

Abstract

Covering three fundamental governance transitions historically characteristic of modern states—the provision of security, the building of capacity, and the deepening of inclusion—we offer a pioneering forecast of the future of domestic governance through the year 2060 for 183 countries utilizing a long-term, dynamic, integrated global futures modeling system. While our Base Case forecast anticipates global gains in security, capacity, and inclusion, extended scenario analysis suggests that timely and effective interventions to strengthen governance and implement pro-poor development policies will result in much greater advances on the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals.

Suggested Citation

  • Joshi, Devin K. & Hughes, Barry B. & Sisk, Timothy D., 2015. "Improving Governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario Forecasting the Next 50years," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 286-302.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:70:y:2015:i:c:p:286-302
    DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.01.013
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:eee:wdevel:v:109:y:2018:i:c:p:73-84 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Fiorini, Matteo & Hoekman, Bernard, 2018. "Services trade policy and sustainable development," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 1-12.
    3. repec:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:3:p:815-:d:136322 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Vallejo, B. & Wehn, U., 2016. "Capacity development evaluation : The challenge of the results agenda and measuring return on investment in the global south," Other publications TiSEM d22bbdd5-5e29-404a-9ca8-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Dang, Hai-Anh H. & Fu, Haishan & Serajuddin, Umar, 2019. "Tracking the Sustainable Development Goals: Emerging Measurement Challenges and Further Reflections," GLO Discussion Paper Series 327, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    6. repec:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:7:p:2116-:d:153696 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. repec:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:1:p:60-:d:125067 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Stelian Brad & Bogdan Mocan & Emilia Brad & Mircea Fulea, 2016. "Environmentally Sustainable Economic Growth," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 18(42), pages 446-446, May.
    9. Vallejo, Bertha & Wehn, Uta, 2016. "Capacity Development Evaluation: The Challenge of the Results Agenda and Measuring Return on Investment in the Global South," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-13.
    10. repec:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:6:p:1507-:d:213340 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. repec:eee:forpol:v:94:y:2018:i:c:p:21-26 is not listed on IDEAS

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