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Hits from the Bong: The impact of recreational marijuana dispensaries on property values

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  • Thomas, Danna
  • Tian, Lin

Abstract

We exploit a natural experiment in Washington state that randomly allocates recreational marijuana retail licenses to estimate the capitalization effects of dispensaries into property sale prices. Developing a new cross-validation procedure to define the treatment radius, we estimate difference-in-differences, triple difference, and instrumental variables models. We find statistically significant negative effects of recreational marijuana dispensaries on housing values that are relatively localized: home prices within a 0.36 mile area around a new dispensary fall by 3–4% on average, relative to control areas. We also explore increased crime near dispensaries as a possible mechanism driving depressed home prices. While we find no evidence of a general increase in crime in Seattle, WA, there is a significant increase in nuisance-related crimes in census tracts with marijuana dispensaries relative to other census tracts in Seattle.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas, Danna & Tian, Lin, 2021. "Hits from the Bong: The impact of recreational marijuana dispensaries on property values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:87:y:2021:i:c:s0166046221000156
    DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2021.103655
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    2. Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M. & Gobillon, Laurent, 2021. "Introduction to the Special issue: “Emerging Trends in Urban Economics”," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

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