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Partisan spatial sorting in the United States: A theoretical and empirical overview

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  • Kaplan, Ethan
  • Spenkuch, Jörg L.
  • Sullivan, Rebecca

Abstract

We develop a variance-like index of heterogeneity in partisanship and use it to measure spatial sorting. We prove that our index is the only one (up to a linear transformation) that satisfies seven theoretical properties, all of which are intuitively desirable. Based on this index we document the long-run evolution of geographic sorting along partisan lines in the American electorate. We provide evidence that spatial cleavages have increased dramatically since the mid-twentieth century. At no point since the Civil War have partisans been as clustered within the boundaries of individual states as today. Nonetheless, even when geographic sorting is measured at the precinct level, differences across communities tend to be significantly smaller than differences within. In this sense, the American electorate continues to be more diverse within than across areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaplan, Ethan & Spenkuch, Jörg L. & Sullivan, Rebecca, 2022. "Partisan spatial sorting in the United States: A theoretical and empirical overview," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pubeco:v:211:y:2022:i:c:s0047272722000706
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2022.104668
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    4. Ruben Enikolopov & Maria Petrova & Gianluca Russo & David Yanagizawa-Drott, 2024. "Socializing Alone: How Online Homophily Has Underminded Social Cohesion in the US," CESifo Working Paper Series 11375, CESifo.
    5. Anahit Mkrtchyan & Jason Sandvik & Vivi Z. Zhu, 2024. "CEO Activism and Firm Value," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(10), pages 6519-6549, October.
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    8. David P. Baron, 2025. "Contemporary social federalism: Sorting, natural polarization, and policy devolvement," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 37(2), pages 89-121, April.

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