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Evidence of log-periodicity in corporate bond spreads

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  • Clark, Andrew

Abstract

In this paper, we looked for evidence of log-periodicity in recent US corporate bond spreads.

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  • Clark, Andrew, 2004. "Evidence of log-periodicity in corporate bond spreads," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 338(3), pages 585-595.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:338:y:2004:i:3:p:585-595
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2004.02.059
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ras B. Pandey & Dietrich Stauffer, 2000. "Search For Log-Periodic Oscillations In Stock Market Simulations," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 479-482.
    2. Cont, Rama & Bouchaud, Jean-Philipe, 2000. "Herd Behavior And Aggregate Fluctuations In Financial Markets," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 170-196, June.
    3. Lui, Yu-Hon & Mole, David, 1998. "The use of fundamental and technical analyses by foreign exchange dealers: Hong Kong evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 535-545, June.
    4. Zumbach, Gilles & Lynch, Paul, 2001. "Heterogeneous volatility cascade in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 298(3), pages 521-529.
    5. Gilles Zumbach & Paul Lynch, 2001. "Heterogeneous volatility cascade in financial markets," Papers cond-mat/0105162, arXiv.org.
    6. Farmer, J. Doyne & Joshi, Shareen, 2002. "The price dynamics of common trading strategies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 149-171, October.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Wosnitza, Jan Henrik & Denz, Cornelia, 2013. "Liquidity crisis detection: An application of log-periodic power law structures to default prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(17), pages 3666-3681.
    3. Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose & Ibarra-Valdez, Carlos & Bernabe, Araceli & Rodriguez, Eduardo, 2005. "Power-law periodicity in the 2003–2004 crude oil price dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 349(3), pages 625-640.
    4. Wosnitza, Jan Henrik & Leker, Jens, 2014. "Can log-periodic power law structures arise from random fluctuations?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 401(C), pages 228-250.
    5. Pawel Dlotko & Simon Rudkin, 2019. "The Topology of Time Series: Improving Recession Forecasting from Yield Spreads," Working Papers 2019-02, Swansea University, School of Management.
    6. Sornette, Didier & Woodard, Ryan & Yan, Wanfeng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2013. "Clarifications to questions and criticisms on the Johansen–Ledoit–Sornette financial bubble model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(19), pages 4417-4428.
    7. Wosnitza, Jan Henrik & Leker, Jens, 2014. "Why credit risk markets are predestined for exhibiting log-periodic power law structures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 393(C), pages 427-449.
    8. Hanwool Jang & Yena Song & Sungbin Sohn & Kwangwon Ahn, 2018. "Real Estate Soars and Financial Crises: Recent Stories," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Filimonov, V. & Sornette, D., 2013. "A stable and robust calibration scheme of the log-periodic power law model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(17), pages 3698-3707.
    10. Kwangwon Ahn & Hanwool Jang & Jinu Kim & Inug Ryu, 2024. "COVID-19 and REITs Crash: Predictability and Market Conditions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 1159-1172, March.
    11. Jang, Hanwool & Song, Yena & Ahn, Kwangwon, 2020. "Can government stabilize the housing market? The evidence from South Korea," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 550(C).

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