IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v91y2024ics0301420724002423.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Understanding the Interplay: Oil price and renewable energy investment in Africa's net oil importing and net oil exporting countries

Author

Listed:
  • Tambari, Ishaya
  • Failler, Pierre
  • Jaffry, Shabbar

Abstract

This study investigates the symmetric and asymmetric relationships between oil price and renewable energy investment (REI) in six African countries (Algeria, Angola, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa), examining the differences between net oil-importing and net oil-exporting countries in Africa. The study employs autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing and the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag approaches to analyse the data. The results reveal symmetric and asymmetric relationships between oil prices and REI across the countries examined. Algeria, Egypt, and Nigeria exhibit symmetric relationships, whereas Angola, Ethiopia and South Africa demonstrate asymmetric relationships. Oil prices have statistically significant effects on REI in all countries, albeit with varying levels of magnitude. In symmetric relationships, oil price influences REI in the long run for Egypt and Nigeria, while Algeria shows significant effects in both the short- and long-term. In asymmetric relationships, a positive change in oil price has a significant negative impact on REI in the long run for Angola, Ethiopia, and South Africa, while a negative change in oil price positively affects REI. Notably, Ethiopia does not exhibit statistical significance regarding negative oil price change. Overall, the study provides valuable insights into the complex relationship between oil prices and REI in Africa, emphasising the need for strategic policies to promote renewable energy adoption and reduce dependence on fossil fuels.

Suggested Citation

  • Tambari, Ishaya & Failler, Pierre & Jaffry, Shabbar, 2024. "Understanding the Interplay: Oil price and renewable energy investment in Africa's net oil importing and net oil exporting countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:91:y:2024:i:c:s0301420724002423
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104875
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420724002423
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104875?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shah, Imran Hussain & Hiles, Charlie & Morley, Bruce, 2018. "How do oil prices, macroeconomic factors and policies affect the market for renewable energy?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 87-97.
    2. İçen, Hüseyin & Yerdelen Tatoğlu, Ferda, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of changes in price and income on renewable and nonrenewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 144-152.
    3. Li, Menghan & Zhang, Kaiyue & Alamri, Ahmad Mohammed & Ageli, Mohammed Moosa & Khan, Numan, 2023. "Resource curse hypothesis and sustainable development: Evaluating the role of renewable energy and R&D," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Borozan, Djula & Lolic Cipcic, Marina, 2022. "Asymmetric and nonlinear oil price pass-through to economic growth in Croatia: Do oil-related policy shocks matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    5. AydIn, Levent & Acar, Mustafa, 2011. "Economic impact of oil price shocks on the Turkish economy in the coming decades: A dynamic CGE analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1722-1731, March.
    6. Troster, Victor & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2018. "Renewable energy, oil prices, and economic activity: A Granger-causality in quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 440-452.
    7. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    8. Bilgili, Faik & Koçak, Emrah & Bulut, Ümit, 2016. "The dynamic impact of renewable energy consumption on CO2 emissions: A revisited Environmental Kuznets Curve approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 838-845.
    9. Eregha, Perekunah Bright & Mesagan, Ekundayo Peter, 2017. "Energy consumption, oil price and macroeconomic performance in energy dependent African countries," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 46, pages 74-89.
    10. Oyewo, Ayobami Solomon & Solomon, A.A. & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Aghahosseini, Arman & Mensah, Theophilus Nii Odai & Ram, Manish & Breyer, Christian, 2021. "Just transition towards defossilised energy systems for developing economies: A case study of Ethiopia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 346-365.
    11. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Zakaria, Muhammad & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar, 2018. "The energy consumption and economic growth nexus in top ten energy-consuming countries: Fresh evidence from using the quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 282-301.
    12. Tugcu, Can Tansel & Topcu, Mert, 2018. "Total, renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth: Revisiting the issue with an asymmetric point of view," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 64-74.
    13. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
    14. Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between oil prices and the stock prices of clean energy and technology companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 248-255.
    15. Awerbuch, Shimon & Sauter, Raphael, 2006. "Exploiting the oil-GDP effect to support renewables deployment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(17), pages 2805-2819, November.
    16. Kumar, Surender & Managi, Shunsuke & Matsuda, Akimi, 2012. "Stock prices of clean energy firms, oil and carbon markets: A vector autoregressive analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 215-226.
    17. Li Yang & Sumaiya Bashiru Danwana & Fadilul-lah Yassaanah Issahaku, 2022. "Achieving Environmental Sustainability in Africa: The Role of Renewable Energy Consumption, Natural Resources, and Government Effectiveness—Evidence from Symmetric and Asymmetric ARDL Models," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(13), pages 1-26, June.
    18. Mihaela Simionescu & Wadim Strielkowski & Manuela Tvaronavičienė, 2020. "Renewable Energy in Final Energy Consumption and Income in the EU-28 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-18, May.
    19. Song, Xiao-hua & Han, Jing-jing & Zhang, Lu & Zhao, Cai-ping & Wang, Peng & Liu, Xiao-yan & Li, Qiao-chu, 2021. "Impacts of renewable portfolio standards on multi-market coupling trading of renewable energy in China: A scenario-based system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    20. Joof, Foday & Samour, Ahmed & Ali, Mumtaz & Tursoy, Turgut & Haseeb, Mohammad & Hossain, Md. Emran & Kamal, Mustafa, 2023. "Symmetric and asymmetric effects of gold, and oil price on environment: The role of clean energy in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    21. Sadorsky, Perry, 2009. "Renewable energy consumption and income in emerging economies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 4021-4028, October.
    22. Reboredo, Juan C., 2015. "Is there dependence and systemic risk between oil and renewable energy stock prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 32-45.
    23. Apergis, Nicholas & Payne, James E., 2010. "Renewable energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from a panel of OECD countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 656-660, January.
    24. Chen, Chaoyi & Pinar, Mehmet & Stengos, Thanasis, 2022. "Renewable energy and CO2 emissions: New evidence with the panel threshold model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 117-128.
    25. Fang, Yiping, 2011. "Economic welfare impacts from renewable energy consumption: The China experience," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 5120-5128.
    26. Sadorsky, Perry, 2009. "Renewable energy consumption, CO2 emissions and oil prices in the G7 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 456-462, May.
    27. Cao, Hong & Guo, Litian & Zhang, Lin, 2020. "Does oil price uncertainty affect renewable energy firms’ investment? Evidence from listed firms in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    28. Sebri, Maamar & Ben-Salha, Ousama, 2014. "On the causal dynamics between economic growth, renewable energy consumption, CO2 emissions and trade openness: Fresh evidence from BRICS countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 14-23.
    29. Dominioni, Goran & Romano, Alessandro & Sotis, Chiari, 2019. "A quantitative study of the interactions between oil price and renewable energy sources stock prices," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100548, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    30. Inchauspe, Julian & Ripple, Ronald D. & Trück, Stefan, 2015. "The dynamics of returns on renewable energy companies: A state-space approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 325-335.
    31. Ishaya Tambari & Pierre Failler, 2020. "Determining If Oil Prices Significantly Affect Renewable Energy Investment in African Countries with Energy Security Concerns," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-21, December.
    32. Ali, Mumtaz & Tursoy, Turgut & Samour, Ahmed & Moyo, Delani & Konneh, Abrahim, 2022. "Testing the impact of the gold price, oil price, and renewable energy on carbon emissions in South Africa: Novel evidence from bootstrap ARDL and NARDL approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    33. R. Scott Hacker & Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2006. "Tests for causality between integrated variables using asymptotic and bootstrap distributions: theory and application," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(13), pages 1489-1500.
    34. Tuna, Gülfen & Tuna, Vedat Ender, 2019. "The asymmetric causal relationship between renewable and NON-RENEWABLE energy consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN-5 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 114-124.
    35. Salim, Ruhul A. & Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa, 2012. "Why do some emerging economies proactively accelerate the adoption of renewable energy?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1051-1057.
    36. Ishaya Jonah Tegina Tambari & Pierre Failler & Shabbar Jaffry, 2023. "The Differential Effects of Oil Prices on the Development of Renewable Energy in Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries in Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-20, April.
    37. Brini, Riadh & Amara, Mohamed & Jemmali, Hatem, 2017. "Renewable energy consumption, International trade, oil price and economic growth inter-linkages: The case of Tunisia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 620-627.
    38. Ahmad, Mahmood & Peng, Tao & Awan, Ashar & Ahmed, Zahoor, 2023. "Policy framework considering resource curse, renewable energy transition, and institutional issues: Fostering sustainable development and sustainable natural resource consumption practices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guo, Yaoqi & Yu, Chenxi & Zhang, Hongwei & Cheng, Hui, 2021. "Asymmetric between oil prices and renewable energy consumption in the G7 countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    2. Lu, Zhou & Gozgor, Giray & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Padhan, Hemachandra & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "Welfare gains from international trade and renewable energy demand: Evidence from the OECD countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    3. Seong-Hoon Lee & Yonghun Jung, 2018. "Causal dynamics between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in South Korea: Empirical analysis and policy implications," Energy & Environment, , vol. 29(7), pages 1298-1315, November.
    4. Raggad, Bechir, 2021. "Time varying causal relationship between renewable energy consumption, oil prices and economic activity: New evidence from the United States," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Ishaya Tambari & Pierre Failler, 2020. "Determining If Oil Prices Significantly Affect Renewable Energy Investment in African Countries with Energy Security Concerns," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-21, December.
    6. Ishaya Jonah Tegina Tambari & Pierre Failler & Shabbar Jaffry, 2023. "The Differential Effects of Oil Prices on the Development of Renewable Energy in Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries in Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-20, April.
    7. Shang, Yunfeng & Han, Ding & Gozgor, Giray & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Sahoo, Bimal Kishore, 2022. "The impact of climate policy uncertainty on renewable and non-renewable energy demand in the United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 654-667.
    8. Chen, Chaoyi & Pinar, Mehmet & Stengos, Thanasis, 2021. "Determinants of renewable energy consumption: Importance of democratic institutions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 75-83.
    9. Li, Raymond & Lee, Hazel, 2022. "The role of energy prices and economic growth in renewable energy capacity expansion – Evidence from OECD Europe," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 435-443.
    10. Tiba, Sofien & Omri, Anis, 2017. "Literature survey on the relationships between energy, environment and economic growth," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1129-1146.
    11. Sofien, Tiba & Omri, Anis, 2016. "Literature survey on the relationships between energy variables, environment and economic growth," MPRA Paper 82555, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Sep 2016.
    12. Doytch, Nadia & Narayan, Seema, 2021. "Does transitioning towards renewable energy accelerate economic growth? An analysis of sectoral growth for a dynamic panel of countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    13. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Abbas Rizvi, Syed Kumail & Dong, Kangyin & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Fiscal decentralization as new determinant of renewable energy demand in China: The role of income inequality and urbanization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 68-80.
    14. Zhao, Xu & Luo, Dongkun, 2017. "Driving force of rising renewable energy in China: Environment, regulation and employment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P1), pages 48-56.
    15. Magazzino, Cosimo & Mele, Marco & Schneider, Nicolas, 2021. "A machine learning approach on the relationship among solar and wind energy production, coal consumption, GDP, and CO2 emissions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 99-115.
    16. Shah, Imran Hussain & Hiles, Charlie & Morley, Bruce, 2018. "How do oil prices, macroeconomic factors and policies affect the market for renewable energy?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 87-97.
    17. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Awodumi, Olabanji B., 2017. "Renewable and non-renewable energy-growth-emissions linkages: Review of emerging trends with policy implications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 275-291.
    18. Radmehr, Riza & Henneberry, Shida Rastegari & Shayanmehr, Samira, 2021. "Renewable Energy Consumption, CO2 Emissions, and Economic Growth Nexus: A Simultaneity Spatial Modeling Analysis of EU Countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 13-27.
    19. Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Lu, Zhou, 2018. "Energy consumption and economic growth: New evidence from the OECD countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 27-34.
    20. Kocaarslan, Baris & Soytas, Ugur, 2021. "Reserve currency and the volatility of clean energy stocks: The role of uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:91:y:2024:i:c:s0301420724002423. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.