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Hedging U.S. metals & mining Industry's credit risk with industrial and precious metals

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  • Umar, Zaghum
  • Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad
  • Kenourgios, Dimitris

Abstract

This study examines the conditional correlation and the resulting optimal hedge ratios between the Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads of the U.S. metal and mining industries, and the prices of copper, platinum, silver and gold using the daily date from December 14, 2007 to August 18, 2018. It compares volatility and conditional correlation of the CDSs and the metal prices by employing multivariate GARCH family models which capture distinct characteristics of financial time series. It utilizes rolling window estimation techniques and constructs the one-step-ahead out-of-sample forecasts for the dynamic conditional correlations and thereafter the optimal hedge ratios. In general, our results show that copper provides the best possible hedge for dealing with the U.S. metals and mining industries’ credit risks. Our results are robust under alternate model specifications, choice of model refits and distributional assumptions.

Suggested Citation

  • Umar, Zaghum & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Kenourgios, Dimitris, 2019. "Hedging U.S. metals & mining Industry's credit risk with industrial and precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:63:y:2019:i:c:9
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101472
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    3. Ali, Sajid & Bouri, Elie & Czudaj, Robert Lukas & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Revisiting the valuable roles of commodities for international stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
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    5. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Agyemang, Abraham & Hasan Chowdhury, Md Iftekhar & Hasan, Mudassar & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2022. "Precious metals as hedge and safe haven for African stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
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    7. Arfaoui, Nadia & Yousaf, Imran & Jareño, Francisco, 2023. "Return and volatility connectedness between gold and energy markets: Evidence from the pre- and post-COVID vaccination phases," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 617-634.
    8. Lazzarino, Marco & Berrill, Jenny & Šević, Aleksandar, 2022. "The importance of distinguishing between precious and industrial metals when investing in mining stocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gabauer, David & Umar, Zaghum, 2021. "Crude Oil futures contracts and commodity markets: New evidence from a TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Mensi, Walid & Nekhili, Ramzi & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Quantile dependencies between precious and industrial metals futures and portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    11. Abbas, Shujaat & Sinha, Avik & Saha, Tanaya & Shah, Muhammad Ibrahim, 2023. "Response of mineral market to renewable energy production in the USA: Where lies the sustainable energy future," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    12. Văn, Lê & Bảo, Nguyễn Khắc Quốc, 2022. "The relationship between global stock and precious metals under Covid-19 and happiness perspectives," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    13. Umar, Zaghum & Jareño, Francisco & Escribano, Ana, 2021. "Agricultural commodity markets and oil prices: An analysis of the dynamic return and volatility connectedness," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    14. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Olubiyi, Ebenezer A. & Adedeji, Adedayo O., 2023. "The inflation-hedging performance of industrial metals in the world's most industrialized countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    15. Azimli, Asil, 2022. "Degree and structure of return dependence among commodities, energy stocks and international equity markets during the post-COVID-19 period," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
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    17. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed, 2023. "Quantile connectedness between oil price shocks and exchange rates," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    18. Dimitriou, Dimitrios & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Simos, Theodore, 2020. "Are there any other safe haven assets? Evidence for “exotic” and alternative assets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 614-628.
    19. Zainudin, Ahmad Danial & Mohamad, Azhar, 2021. "Cross hedging with stock index futures," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 128-144.
    20. Abuzayed, Bana & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Hedging UK stock portfolios with gold and oil: The impact of Brexit," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    21. Umar, Zaghum & Gubareva, Mariya & Tran, Dang Khoa & Teplova, Tamara, 2021. "Impact of the Covid-19 induced panic on the Environmental, Social and Governance leaders equity volatility: A time-frequency analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    22. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Dependence among metals and mining companies of the US and Europe during normal and crises periods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    23. Ghazani, Majid Mirzaee & Khosravi, Reza & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2023. "Analyzing interconnection among selected commodities in the 2008 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
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    25. Umar, Zaghum & Jareño, Francisco & Escribano, Ana, 2021. "Oil price shocks and the return and volatility spillover between industrial and precious metals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit risk; Metal and mining industry; Precious metals; Hedging;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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