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The cross-impact between financial markets, Covid-19 pandemic, and economic sanctions: The case of Iran

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  • Samadi, Ali Hussein
  • Owjimehr, Sakine
  • Nezhad Halafi, Zohoor

Abstract

The main financial markets in the Iranian Economy include the stock exchange, foreign exchange, oil, and gold markets. The sharp fluctuations in these markets, especially those caused by the severe sanctions imposed on Iran in May 2018, and the pandemic outbreak of Covid-19 have led to more confusion and uncertainty among investors. One of the effective approaches to examine such unstable conditions is to study the co-movement(s) between markets to identify the leading variable(s). Thus, in the present study, Wavelet Coherence Analysis was applied to examine the co-movements between markets in a time period from September 2014 to June 2020, as an intense period of uncertainty in Iran. In other words, in this study, the markets were investigated in different sub-periods. Also, the Segmented Regression was performed to estimate the impact of sanctions and the Covid-19 pandemic on the co-movements of financial markets in Iran.

Suggested Citation

  • Samadi, Ali Hussein & Owjimehr, Sakine & Nezhad Halafi, Zohoor, 2021. "The cross-impact between financial markets, Covid-19 pandemic, and economic sanctions: The case of Iran," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 34-55.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:43:y:2021:i:1:p:34-55
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.08.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Gia Zoidze & George Abuselidze, 2021. "Covid-19 Pandemic And Currency Risk Analysis In Georgia," Entrepreneurship, Faculty of Economics, SOUTH-WEST UNIVERSITY "NEOFIT RILSKI", BLAGOEVGRAD, vol. 9(2), pages 33-46.
    2. Taskin, Dilvin & Dogan, Eyup & Madaleno, Mara, 2022. "Analyzing the relationship between energy efficiency and environmental and financial variables: A way towards sustainable development," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    3. Linhai Zhao & Ehsan Rasoulinezhad & Tapan Sarker & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2023. "Effects of COVID-19 on Global Financial Markets: Evidence from Qualitative Research for Developed and Developing Economies," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(1), pages 148-166, February.
    4. María del Carmen Valls Martínez & Pedro Antonio Martín Cervantes, 2021. "Testing the Resilience of CSR Stocks during the COVID-19 Crisis: A Transcontinental Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-24, March.
    5. Daniel Stefan Armeanu & Stefan Cristian Gherghina & Jean Vasile Andrei & Camelia Catalina Joldes, 2023. "Evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model on the asymmetric influence of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on energy markets," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1433-1470, August.
    6. Abdorasoul Sadeghi & Hussein Marzban & Ali Hussein Samadi & Karim Azarbaiejani & Parviz Rostamzadeh, 2022. "Financial intermediaries and speculation in the foreign exchange market: the role of monetary policy in Iran’s economy," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, December.
    7. Zeinedini, Sh & Karimi, M. Sh & Khanzadi, A., 2022. "Impact of global oil and gold prices on the Iran stock market returns during the Covid-19 pandemic using the quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial markets; Wavelet coherence; Covid-19; Economic sanctions; Iran;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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