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Decision and design heuristics in the context of entrepreneurial uncertainties

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  • Gilbert-Saad, Antoine
  • Siedlok, Frank
  • McNaughton, Rod B.

Abstract

Building on a perspective of the entrepreneur as an interpretive agent, we argue that in situations where there is absolute uncertainty, heuristics are useful design rules that aid entrepreneurs’ judgment by synthesizing mental models and expectations to enable purposeful action. This is because decisions under absolute uncertainty pertain to subjective judgments of both outcomes and options. In contrast, objectively rational decision heuristics are useful under predictable risk. Our argument provides balance to the extant literature, which, due to the overemphasis on biases and an unrealistic view of uncertainty in entrepreneurial decision making, often overlooks the positive role of heuristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Gilbert-Saad, Antoine & Siedlok, Frank & McNaughton, Rod B., 2018. "Decision and design heuristics in the context of entrepreneurial uncertainties," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 75-80.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jobuve:v:9:y:2018:i:c:p:75-80
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbvi.2018.02.006
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    Cited by:

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    2. Honig, Benson & Samuelsson, Mikael, 2021. "Business planning by intrapreneurs and entrepreneurs under environmental uncertainty and institutional pressure," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
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    4. Sipos, Norbert & Lukovszki, Lívia & Rideg, András & Vörös, Zsófia, 2023. "A vállalkozói döntéshozatali logikák kognitív megközelítése [Entrepreneurial effectuation through the lens of cognitive processes]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 544-563.
    5. Daniel Leunbach & Truls Erikson & Max Rapp-Ricciardi, 2020. "Muddling through Akerlofian and Knightian uncertainty: The role of sociobehavioral integration, positive affective tone, and polychronicity," Journal of International Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 145-164, June.
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    7. Emmanuel Kwasi Mensah & Lawrence Adu Asamoah & Vahid Jafari-Sadeghi, 2021. "Entrepreneurial opportunity decisions under uncertainty: Recognizing the complementing role of personality traits and cognitive skills," Journal of Entrepreneurship, Management and Innovation, Fundacja Upowszechniająca Wiedzę i Naukę "Cognitione", vol. 17(1), pages 25-55.
    8. Mallika Devi Pathak & Brajaballav Kar & Madhu Chhanda Panda, 2022. "Chaos and complexity: entrepreneurial planning during pandemic," Journal of Global Entrepreneurship Research, Springer;UNESCO Chair in Entrepreneurship, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
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    10. Gilbert-Saad, Antoine & Siedlok, Frank & McNaughton, Rod B., 2023. "Entrepreneurial heuristics: Making strategic decisions in highly uncertain environments," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).

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