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Spreading of an infectious disease between different locations

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  • Muscillo, Alessio
  • Pin, Paolo
  • Razzolini, Tiziano

Abstract

The endogenous adaptation of economic agents, that may adjust their trade network in response to infection rates, can have the perverse effect of increasing the overall systemic infectiveness of a disease. We study a dynamical model over two geographically distinct but interacting markets, to better understand theoretically the mechanism at play. We also discuss analogies with the 2018 African Swine Fever, and provide empirical motivation from the Italian National Bovine Database, for the period 2006–2013.

Suggested Citation

  • Muscillo, Alessio & Pin, Paolo & Razzolini, Tiziano, 2021. "Spreading of an infectious disease between different locations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 508-532.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:183:y:2021:i:c:p:508-532
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.01.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Infectious disease; Italian National Bovine Database; Endogenous spreading; Exogenous shocks; Islands model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior

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