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The ESG-productivity paradox: how ESG performance expectation gaps impede total factor productivity

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  • Dong, Xiaonan

Abstract

Despite extensive studies on expectation gaps in financial performance, the impact of ESG performance expectation gaps (ESGNGAP) remains underexplored. Based on data from Chinese listed manufacturers (2011–2023), this study examines how ESGNGAP affect firms’ total factor productivity (TFP), offering novel insights into the non-financial drivers of productivity. The findings demonstrate that larger ESGNGAP significantly reduce TFP by intensifying hidden executive corruption (exemplified by excessive on-the-job consumption) and weakening green innovation. This negative effect is mitigated by firms’ digital transformation, executives’ environmental backgrounds, and regional fintech development. Additional analysis reveals that the impact of ESGNGAP on productivity varies across ownership structures and industries. This study enriches the ESG performance feedback literature by revealing the effects of ESGNGAP on productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Dong, Xiaonan, 2026. "The ESG-productivity paradox: how ESG performance expectation gaps impede total factor productivity," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:202:y:2026:i:c:s0148296325005983
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2025.115775
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