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Testing prospect theory in airline demand

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  • Nicolau, Juan Luis

Abstract

The article tests for the existence of reference dependence, loss aversion and diminishing sensitivity in airline demand, in the context of price responsiveness amongst low cost, regular and charter airlines. We incorporate the reference-dependent model into a mixed model to control for heterogeneity. The application finds considerable differences between reference and actual prices in decision-making, confirming that reference dependence exists. People react more strongly to price increases than to decreases relative to their reference price supporting the loss aversion phenomenon and that there is diminishing sensitivity for losses only.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolau, Juan Luis, 2011. "Testing prospect theory in airline demand," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 241-243.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:17:y:2011:i:4:p:241-243
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2010.11.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Amos Tversky & Daniel Kahneman, 1991. "Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(4), pages 1039-1061.
    2. Hess, Stephane, 2008. "Treatment of reference alternatives in stated choice surveys for air travel choice behaviour," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 275-279.
    3. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Train,Kenneth E., 2009. "Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521747387, December.
    5. David R. Bell & James M. Lattin, 2000. "Looking for Loss Aversion in Scanner Panel Data: The Confounding Effect of Price Response Heterogeneity," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 185-200, May.
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