The forward-bias puzzle: Still unsolved
This article argues that Pippenger's (2011) "Solution to the forward-bias puzzleâ must be regarded as an econometric explanation of the famous puzzle, although it does not offer an exhaustive economic answer to it. Some of Pippenger's (2011) findings are reproduced and established in a cointegrated multiple time series model. It is suggested that economists should stop trying to working out the forward-bias puzzle and start looking for fundamentally better models of foreign exchange rate determination. A tentative alternative is provided.
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Volume (Year): 21 (2011)
Issue (Month): 4 (October)
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in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, pages 339-412
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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