IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v78y2025ics154461232500457x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

‘Crypto president’: Do narrative political signals drive cryptocurrency returns?

Author

Listed:
  • Ben Jabeur, Sami
  • Dhifaoui, Zouhaier
  • Bakkar, Yassine
  • Ballouk, Houssein

Abstract

This study provides evidence on the role of the quality of political signals in predicting six major cryptocurrency asset classes. Including communications from the U.S. presidential election in 2024, we find that political news affects cryptocurrency returns in the short-term (from ∼2 to ∼4 months). For most cryptoassets, text sentiment measures demonstrate superior predictive performance compared to historical cryptocurrency time series in out-of-sample forecasts.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Jabeur, Sami & Dhifaoui, Zouhaier & Bakkar, Yassine & Ballouk, Houssein, 2025. "‘Crypto president’: Do narrative political signals drive cryptocurrency returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:78:y:2025:i:c:s154461232500457x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.107194
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S154461232500457X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107194?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:78:y:2025:i:c:s154461232500457x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.