IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v69y2024ipbs1544612324012091.html

Coupling between global climate policy uncertainty and economic policy uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Ma, Dandan
  • Zhang, Dayong
  • Guo, Kun
  • Ji, Qiang

Abstract

This paper aims to track global climate policy uncertainty (GCPU) and study its impact on economic policy. We develop a news-based index for GCPU spanning from 2000 to 2023, covering twelve countries across six continents. The index exhibits an upward trend after the adoption of the Paris Agreement in 2015 and spikes during major climate policy events. We examine the spillover effects from GCPU to global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU) using the copula-conditional value-at-risk approach. Our findings suggest that GCPU has significantly influenced GEPU in both upside and downside movements, with a greater effect on the upside.

Suggested Citation

  • Ma, Dandan & Zhang, Dayong & Guo, Kun & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "Coupling between global climate policy uncertainty and economic policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:69:y:2024:i:pb:s1544612324012091
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106180
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612324012091
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106180?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alessi, Lucia & Battiston, Stefano & Kvedaras, Virmantas, 2024. "Over with carbon? Investors’ reaction to the Paris Agreement and the US withdrawal," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    2. Lin, Boqiang & Zhao, Hengsong, 2023. "Tracking policy uncertainty under climate change," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Su, Chi Wei & Wei, Shenkai & Wang, Yan & Tao, Ran, 2024. "How does climate policy uncertainty affect the carbon market?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    4. Liu, Fangying & Su, Chi Wei & Tao, Ran & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2024. "Does economic and climate policy uncertainty matter the oil market?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    5. Steven J. Davis, 2016. "An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 22740, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Girardi, Giulio & Tolga Ergün, A., 2013. "Systemic risk measurement: Multivariate GARCH estimation of CoVaR," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3169-3180.
    7. Ren, Xiaohang & An, Yaning & Jin, Chenglu & Yan, Cheng, 2024. "Weathering the policy storm: How climate strategy volatility shapes corporate total factor productivity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    8. Guesmi, Khaled & Makrychoriti, Panagiota & Spyrou, Spyros, 2023. "The relationship between climate risk, climate policy uncertainty, and CO2 emissions: Empirical evidence from the US," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 610-628.
    9. Ma, Dandan & Zhang, Yunhan & Ji, Qiang & Zhao, Wan-Li & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2024. "Heterogeneous impacts of climate change news on China's financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    11. Ana-Maria Bliuc & Craig McGarty & Emma F. Thomas & Girish Lala & Mariette Berndsen & RoseAnne Misajon, 2015. "Public division about climate change rooted in conflicting socio-political identities," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(3), pages 226-229, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wan, Yu-fan & Wang, Ming-hui & Wu, Feng-lin, 2025. "Greater fragility, greater exposure: A network-based analysis of climate policy uncertainty shocks and G20 stock markets stability," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Ren, Xiaohang & Fu, Chenjia & Tao, Lizhu & Yuan, Li & Xu, Ziyue, 2025. "Financialization trends and climate policy uncertainty: Implications for China’s nonferrous metal market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(PA).
    3. Xu, Shuanglei & Zhao, Xiaomeng & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2025. "Towards the environmental sustainability path: the role of fintech, renewable energy consumption, and climate policy uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    4. Ji, Qiang & Ma, Dandan & Zhai, Pengxiang & Fan, Ying & Zhang, Dayong, 2024. "Global climate policy uncertainty and financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    5. Sun, Yanpeng & Song, Yuru & Long, Chi & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "How to improve global environmental governance? Lessons learned from climate risk and climate policy uncertainty," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1666-1676.
    6. Buu Kiem Dang & Duc Toan Vo & Nguyen Tuyet Minh Ha, 2025. "The impact of economic uncertainty and institutional quality on bank profitability: global evidence," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 1-29, July.
    7. Lu, Man & Wang, Wei & Chen, Fengwen & Li, Hongmei, 2024. "Dynamic impacts of multidimensional uncertainty on the renminbi exchange rate: Insights from time-varying analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    8. Himounet, Nicolas, 2022. "Searching the nature of uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial risks VS geopolitical and pandemic risks," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1-31.
    9. Gilles Dufrénot & William Ginn & Marc Pourroy, 2023. "ENSO Climate Patterns on Global Economic Conditions," AMSE Working Papers 2308, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    10. Xu, Kunliang & Shao, Yanmin & Hu, Yiwen, 2025. "Responding to perceived environmental policy uncertainty with green technological innovation engagement: Evidence from a text-based measure," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    11. Sabani, Nazmie & Bales, Stephan & Burghof, Hans-Peter, 2024. "On the different impact of local and national sources of policy uncertainty on sectoral stock volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    12. Niels Gillmann, 2026. "A Global Network of Economic Policy Uncertainty Spillovers," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 27-62, March.
    13. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Muhammad Akram Gilal & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Sustainability of Global Economic Policy and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, May.
    14. Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: the Role of Decomposed Term Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 101-116, January.
    15. Li, Jie & Han, Yingwei, 2025. "Nonlinear hedging climate policy uncertainty: A dynamic mixed copula approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    16. Francisco Serranito & Julien Vauday & Nicolas Himounet, 2022. "A Positive Effect of Uncertainty Shocks on the Economy: Is the Chase Over ?," Working Papers hal-04159792, HAL.
    17. Tosapol Apaitan & Pongsak Luangaram & Pym Manopimoke, 2022. "Uncertainty in an emerging market economy: evidence from Thailand," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 933-989, March.
    18. Smita Roy Trivedi, 2024. "Into the Unknown: Uncertainty, Foreboding and Financial Markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 1-23, March.
    19. Dai, Peng-Fei & Xiong, Xiong & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2021. "A global economic policy uncertainty index from principal component analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    20. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2023. "Uncertainty before and during COVID‐19: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(3), pages 821-864, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:69:y:2024:i:pb:s1544612324012091. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.