Exploring water-saving potentials of US electric power transition while thirsting for carbon neutrality

While the US electric power sector transitioning towards a low-carbon system, the escalated adoption of renewable energy has paradoxically increased water consumption. Consequently, it is imperative to engineer a power generation matrix that mitigates CO2 emissions and minimizes water utilization. The primary endeavor should be to meticulously identify the variables affecting water consumption changes, especially highlighting and addressing the inherent tension between water conservation and carbon reduction. Employing temporal and spatial Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index methodologies, this study meticulously investigated the factors driving water consumption changes across state-level electricity production sectors in the US from 2010 to 2018. The analysis revealed that the generation mix structure was a predominant factor in escalating water consumption, exerting a more substantial influence than total power generation. Moreover, while the water consumption coefficient initially mitigates the impact of other factors, its effectiveness diminishes over time. Utilizing spatial Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index techniques, this paper further delineated state-level disparities, illuminating the heterogeneous nature of water consumption across regions. Projections up to 2050 suggest that water consumption reductions could be realized even amidst a highly intense scenario. The study's robustness and reliability were further augmented by employing an adaptive Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index.