IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v193y2024ics0301421524002957.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Electric vehicle and supply equipment adoption dynamics in the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Afzal, Hania
  • Hawkins, Jason

Abstract

In the present era of climate change concerns, plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) and their associated infrastructure are strategic investments by many governments. Investment discussions often include the dynamic supply-demand relationship between PEV adoption and charging station deployment, but rarely is it given an empirical treatment. We make use of publicly available charging station installation and PEV vehicle registration data by U.S. County between the years 2012 and 2021 to examine the phasing and causal relationship between adoption trends in these two markets. Non-linear Granger causality tests suggest a feedback relationship between PEV vehicle adoption and charging station installations. It can be further explained that when individuals adopt PEV, the demand for the charging infrastructure increases to meet the demand for PEV. Conversely, when more charging station installations become available, it encourages adoption of this technology making it convenient for individuals to have access to these charging facilities. It is observed in aggregate that PEVs are penetrating across the U.S., but the penetration rate differs across states and counties. We examine this interaction using a generalized propensity score (GPS) identification strategy for the effect of charging station installations on PEV registrations, coupled with a generalized additive model (GAM) to construct a causal dose-response curve. We observe statistically significant effects on per capita charging station rates for income and total population. We suggest a policy package that includes charging infrastructure investments but also provides wider adoption of subsidies for low-income households across all states.

Suggested Citation

  • Afzal, Hania & Hawkins, Jason, 2024. "Electric vehicle and supply equipment adoption dynamics in the United States," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:193:y:2024:i:c:s0301421524002957
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114275
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421524002957
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114275?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shanjun Li & Lang Tong & Jianwei Xing & Yiyi Zhou, 2017. "The Market for Electric Vehicles: Indirect Network Effects and Policy Design," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 4(1), pages 89-133.
    2. Donald B. Rubin, 2005. "Causal Inference Using Potential Outcomes: Design, Modeling, Decisions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 322-331, March.
    3. J. Paul Elhorst, 2014. "Dynamic Spatial Panels: Models, Methods and Inferences," SpringerBriefs in Regional Science, in: Spatial Econometrics, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 95-119, Springer.
    4. Iogansen, Xiatian & Wang, Kailai & Bunch, David & Matson, Grant & Circella, Giovanni, 2023. "Deciphering the factors associated with adoption of alternative fuel vehicles in California: An investigation of latent attitudes, socio-demographics, and neighborhood effects," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    5. Tamara L. Sheldon & J. R. DeShazo & Richard T. Carson, 2019. "Demand for Green Refueling Infrastructure," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(1), pages 131-157, September.
    6. Yiyi Zhou & Shanjun Li, 2018. "Technology Adoption and Critical Mass: The Case of the U.S. Electric Vehicle Market," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(2), pages 423-480, June.
    7. Jia, Wenjian & Chen, T. Donna, 2023. "Investigating heterogeneous preferences for plug-in electric vehicles: Policy implications from different choice models," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jacobus Nel & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2022. "Electric Vehicles Market and Policy Conditions: Identifying South African Policy ``Potholes"," Working Papers 202257, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Meunier, Guy & Ponssard, Jean-Pierre, 2020. "Optimal policy and network effects for the deployment of zero emission vehicles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Mu Li & Yingqi Liu & Weizhong Yue, 2022. "Evolutionary Game of Actors in China’s Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-20, November.
    4. Luo, Qi & Yin, Yunlei & Chen, Pengyu & Zhan, Zhenfei & Saigal, Romesh, 2022. "Dynamic subsidies for synergistic development of charging infrastructure and electric vehicle adoption," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 117-136.
    5. Stephen P. Holland & Erin T. Mansur & Andrew J. Yates, 2021. "The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 316-344, August.
    6. Littlejohn, Christina & Proost, Stef, 2022. "What role for electric vehicles in the decarbonization of the car transport sector in Europe?," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    7. Andreassen, Gøril L. & Rosendahl, Knut Einar, 2022. "One or two non-fossil technologies in the decarbonized transport sector?," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    8. Austmann, Leonhard M., 2021. "Drivers of the electric vehicle market: A systematic literature review of empirical studies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    9. Randall Wigle, Istvan Kery, 2021. "Rationalizing Policy Support for Zero Emission Vehicles in Canada," LCERPA Working Papers bm0128, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis.
    10. Shanjun Li & Xianglei Zhu & Yiding Ma & Fan Zhang & Hui Zhou, 2022. "The Role of Government in the Market for Electric Vehicles: Evidence from China," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 450-485, March.
    11. Xing, Jianwei & Leard, Benjamin & Li, Shanjun, 2021. "What does an electric vehicle replace?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    12. Burra, Lavan Teja & Sommer, Stephan & Vance, Colin, 2022. "Policy Complementarities in the Promotion of Electric Vehicles:Subsidies and Charging Infrastructure," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264130, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    13. Koch, Nicolas & Ritter, Nolan & Rohlf, Alexander & Scarazzato, Francesco, 2022. "When is the electric vehicle market self-sustaining? Evidence from Norway," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    14. Li, Ping & Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2023. "The effects of new energy vehicle subsidies on air quality: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    15. Mamkhezri, Jamal, 2025. "Public preferences for battery electric vehicle policies considering energy mix: A US choice experiment study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    16. Li,Shanjun & Zhu,Xianglei & Ma,Yiding & Zhang,Fan & Zhou,Hui, 2020. "The Role of Government in the Market for Electric Vehicles : Evidence from China," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9359, The World Bank.
    17. Shi, Lefeng & Hao, Ying & Lv, Shengnan & Cipcigan, Liana & Liang, Jun, 2021. "A comprehensive charging network planning scheme for promoting EV charging infrastructure considering the Chicken-Eggs dilemma," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    18. Burra, Lavan T. & Sommer, Stephan & Vance, Colin, 2024. "Policy complementarities in the promotion of electric vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    19. Tang, Yunfeng & Zhang, Xuan & Lu, Shibao & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "Digital finance and air pollution in China: Evolution characteristics, impact mechanism and regional differences," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    20. Zheng, Xinye & Li, Fanghua & Song, Shunfeng & Yu, Yihua, 2013. "Central government's infrastructure investment across Chinese regions: A dynamic spatial panel data approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 264-276.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:193:y:2024:i:c:s0301421524002957. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.