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Technology Adoption and Critical Mass: The Case of the U.S. Electric Vehicle Market

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  • Yiyi Zhou
  • Shanjun Li

Abstract

The interdependence between electric vehicle (EV) adoption and charging station deployment could lead to multiple equilibria. Under certain market conditions, the issue of critical mass arises and a market failing to overcome this hurdle would revert to a no‐adoption outcome. Using panel data of EV sales and charging stations across U.S. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA's), we find that more than half of the MSA's face critical mass constraints and that a subsidy policy targeting these critical‐mass constrained MSA's could be much more effective in promoting EV adoption than the current uniform policy.

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  • Yiyi Zhou & Shanjun Li, 2018. "Technology Adoption and Critical Mass: The Case of the U.S. Electric Vehicle Market," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(2), pages 423-480, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jindec:v:66:y:2018:i:2:p:423-480
    DOI: 10.1111/joie.12176
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    Cited by:

    1. Xing, Jianwei & Leard, Benjamin & Li, Shanjun, 2021. "What does an electric vehicle replace?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    2. Littlejohn, Christina & Proost, Stef, 2022. "What role for electric vehicles in the decarbonization of the car transport sector in Europe?," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    3. Metais, M.O. & Jouini, O. & Perez, Y. & Berrada, J. & Suomalainen, E., 2022. "Too much or not enough? Planning electric vehicle charging infrastructure: A review of modeling options," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    4. Jacobus Nel & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2022. "Electric Vehicles Market and Policy Conditions: Identifying South African Policy ``Potholes"," Working Papers 202257, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Vona, Francesco, 2023. "Managing the distributional effects of climate policies: A narrow path to a just transition," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    6. Li,Shanjun & Wang,Binglin & Yang,Muxi & Zhang,Fan, 2021. "The Global Diffusion of Electric Vehicles : Lessons from the First Decade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9882, The World Bank.
    7. Austmann, Leonhard M., 2021. "Drivers of the electric vehicle market: A systematic literature review of empirical studies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    8. Geoff Tomaino & Jasper Teow & Ziv Carmon & Leonard Lee & Moshe Ben-Akiva & Charlene Chen & Wai Yan Leong & Shanjun Li & Nan Yang & Jinhua Zhao, 2020. "Mobility as a service (MaaS): the importance of transportation psychology," Marketing Letters, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 419-428, December.
    9. Burra, Lavan Teja & Sommer, Stephan & Vance, Colin, 2022. "Policy Complementarities in the Promotion of Electric Vehicles:Subsidies and Charging Infrastructure," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264130, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Arlt, Marie-Louise & Astier, Nicolas, 2023. "Do retail businesses have efficient incentives to invest in public charging stations for electric vehicles?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    11. Mu Li & Yingqi Liu & Weizhong Yue, 2022. "Evolutionary Game of Actors in China’s Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-20, November.
    12. Shanjun Li & Xianglei Zhu & Yiding Ma & Fan Zhang & Hui Zhou, 2022. "The Role of Government in the Market for Electric Vehicles: Evidence from China," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 450-485, March.
    13. Filippo Maria D’Arcangelo & Ilai Levin & Alessia Pagani & Mauro Pisu & Åsa Johansson, 2022. "A framework to decarbonise the economy," OECD Economic Policy Papers 31, OECD Publishing.
    14. Meunier, Guy & Ponssard, Jean-Pierre, 2020. "Optimal policy and network effects for the deployment of zero emission vehicles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    15. Luo, Qi & Yin, Yunlei & Chen, Pengyu & Zhan, Zhenfei & Saigal, Romesh, 2022. "Dynamic subsidies for synergistic development of charging infrastructure and electric vehicle adoption," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 117-136.
    16. Randall Wigle, Istvan Kery, 2021. "Rationalizing Policy Support for Zero Emission Vehicles in Canada," LCERPA Working Papers bm0128, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis.
    17. Stephen P. Holland & Erin T. Mansur & Andrew J. Yates, 2021. "The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 316-344, August.
    18. Shi, Lefeng & Hao, Ying & Lv, Shengnan & Cipcigan, Liana & Liang, Jun, 2021. "A comprehensive charging network planning scheme for promoting EV charging infrastructure considering the Chicken-Eggs dilemma," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    19. Koch, Nicolas & Ritter, Nolan & Rohlf, Alexander & Scarazzato, Francesco, 2022. "When is the electric vehicle market self-sustaining? Evidence from Norway," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    20. Li, Ping & Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2023. "The effects of new energy vehicle subsidies on air quality: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    21. Andreassen, Gøril L. & Rosendahl, Knut Einar, 2022. "One or two non-fossil technologies in the decarbonized transport sector?," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    22. Maeng, Kyuho & Jeon, Seung Ryong & Park, Taeho & Cho, Youngsang, 2021. "Network effects of connected and autonomous vehicles in South Korea: A consumer preference approach," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    23. Li,Shanjun & Zhu,Xianglei & Ma,Yiding & Zhang,Fan & Zhou,Hui, 2020. "The Role of Government in the Market for Electric Vehicles : Evidence from China," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9359, The World Bank.

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