IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v127y2019icp350-360.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Medium-to-long-term coupled strategies for energy efficiency and greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Beijing (China)

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Dongyu
  • Liu, Gengyuan
  • Chen, Caocao
  • Zhang, Yan
  • Hao, Yan
  • Casazza, Marco

Abstract

China's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are projected to peak by 2030 and China makes great efforts to reach the peak as soon as possible. As the ‘frontier’ of Chinese Reform and Opening-up, Beijing has set a goal in 13th Five-Year Plan that local GHG emissions will peak by 2020. This research analyzes the situations of socio-economic development and energy consumption in Beijing and establishes LEAP-Beijing model for the medium-to-long-term prediction of GHG emissions. The energy demand module in LEAP model has six branches, including civilian sector, agriculture, industry, construction industry, transportation and service sector. The analysis and evaluation of their potentials to cut emissions and the difficulties to implement can help Beijing determine the development priority and take right measures to develop a low-carbon society. Four scenarios are set in LEAP-Beijing model, including Business-As-Usual scenario (BAU), Low-Carbon scenario (LC), Enhanced Low-Carbon scenario (ELC) and Peak-Reaching scenario (PR). These scenarios are applied to analyze the total amount of GHG emissions in Beijing and how the peak-reaching time varies due to the impacts of different policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Dongyu & Liu, Gengyuan & Chen, Caocao & Zhang, Yan & Hao, Yan & Casazza, Marco, 2019. "Medium-to-long-term coupled strategies for energy efficiency and greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Beijing (China)," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 350-360.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:127:y:2019:i:c:p:350-360
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.12.030
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421518308292
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.12.030?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mirjat, Nayyar Hussain & Uqaili, Muhammad Aslam & Harijan, Khanji & Walasai, Gordhan Das & Mondal, Md Alam Hossain & Sahin, Hasret, 2018. "Long-term electricity demand forecast and supply side scenarios for Pakistan (2015–2050): A LEAP model application for policy analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 512-526.
    2. Meng, Sam & Siriwardana, Mahinda & McNeill, Judith & Nelson, Tim, 2018. "The impact of an ETS on the Australian energy sector: An integrated CGE and electricity modelling approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 213-224.
    3. Naughten, Barry, 2003. "Economic assessment of combined cycle gas turbines in Australia: Some effects of microeconomic reform and technological change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 225-245, February.
    4. Sadri, A. & Ardehali, M.M. & Amirnekooei, K., 2014. "General procedure for long-term energy-environmental planning for transportation sector of developing countries with limited data based on LEAP (long-range energy alternative planning) and EnergyPLAN," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 831-843.
    5. Contaldi, Mario & Gracceva, Francesco & Tosato, Giancarlo, 2007. "Evaluation of green-certificates policies using the MARKAL-MACRO-Italy model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 797-808, February.
    6. Kemausuor, Francis & Nygaard, Ivan & Mackenzie, Gordon, 2015. "Prospects for bioenergy use in Ghana using Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P1), pages 672-682.
    7. Hong, Sungjun & Chung, Yanghon & Kim, Jongwook & Chun, Dongphil, 2016. "Analysis on the level of contribution to the national greenhouse gas reduction target in Korean transportation sector using LEAP model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 549-559.
    8. Mondal, Md. Alam Hossain & Boie, Wulf & Denich, Manfred, 2010. "Future demand scenarios of Bangladesh power sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(11), pages 7416-7426, November.
    9. Islas, Jorge & Manzini, Fabio & Masera, Omar, 2007. "A prospective study of bioenergy use in Mexico," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 2306-2320.
    10. Meyer, Bernd & Ahlert, Gerd, 2019. "Imperfect Markets and the Properties of Macro-economic-environmental Models as Tools for Policy Evaluation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 80-87.
    11. Chen, Wenying, 2005. "The costs of mitigating carbon emissions in China: findings from China MARKAL-MACRO modeling," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 885-896, May.
    12. Ates, Seyithan A., 2015. "Energy efficiency and CO2 mitigation potential of the Turkish iron and steel industry using the LEAP (long-range energy alternatives planning) system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P1), pages 417-428.
    13. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Chaudhary, A.R. & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2017. "Does urbanization cause increasing energy demand in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from STIRPAT model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 83-93.
    14. Selvakkumaran, Sujeetha & Limmeechokchai, Bundit, 2015. "Low carbon society scenario analysis of transport sector of an emerging economy—The AIM/Enduse modelling approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 199-214.
    15. Phdungsilp, Aumnad, 2010. "Integrated energy and carbon modeling with a decision support system: Policy scenarios for low-carbon city development in Bangkok," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(9), pages 4808-4817, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Cheng, Hao-Sen, 2021. "The impact mechanism of the ETS on CO2 emissions from the service sector: Evidence from Beijing and Shanghai," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    2. Hussain, Arif & Perwez, Usama & Ullah, Kafait & Kim, Chul-Hwan & Asghar, Nosheen, 2021. "Long-term scenario pathways to assess the potential of best available technologies and cost reduction of avoided carbon emissions in an existing 100% renewable regional power system: A case study of G," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    3. Astrida Miceikienė & Kristina Gesevičienė & Daiva Rimkuvienė, 2021. "Assessment of the Dependence of GHG Emissions on the Support and Taxes in the EU Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-15, July.
    4. Zhangqi Zhong & Xu Zhang & Weina Gao, 2020. "Spatiotemporal Evolution of Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions Transferring via Trade: Influencing Factors and Policy Implications," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-24, July.
    5. Rizki Firmansyah Setya Budi & Moch. Djoko Birmano & Elok Satiti Amitayani, 2021. "Selection of Large-scale Nuclear Power Plant Based on Economic and Reliability Aspects in Indonesian Power System," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 42-51.
    6. Fengli Zhang & Chen Li & Yajie Yu & Dana M. Johnson, 2019. "Resources and Future Availability of Agricultural Biomass for Energy Use in Beijing," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-14, May.
    7. Li Shang & Qun Shen & Xuehang Song & Weisheng Yu & Nannan Sun & Wei Wei, 2023. "Impacts Analysis of Dual Carbon Target on the Medium- and Long-Term Petroleum Products Demand in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-19, April.
    8. Xie, Minghua & Yi, Xiangyu & Liu, Kui & Sun, Chuanwang & Kong, Qingbao, 2023. "How much natural gas does China need: An empirical study from the perspective of energy transition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    9. Salimi, Mohsen & Moradi, Mohammad Ali & Amidpour, Majid, 2022. "Modeling and outlook analysis of gasoline supply and demand and sensitivity analysis of main economic and social drivers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    10. Liu, Gengyuan & Hu, Junmei & Chen, Caocao & Xu, Linyu & Wang, Ning & Meng, Fanxin & Giannetti, Biagio F. & Agostinho, Feni & Almeida, Cecília M.V. B. & Casazza, Marco, 2021. "LEAP-WEAP analysis of urban energy-water dynamic nexus in Beijing (China)," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    11. Zhao, Yunying & Wang, Wenju & Liang, Zhentang & Luo, Peng, 2024. "Racing towards zero carbon: Unraveling the interplay between natural resource rents, green innovation, geopolitical risk and environmental pollution in BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    12. Onat, Nuri Cihat & Kucukvar, Murat, 2020. "Carbon footprint of construction industry: A global review and supply chain analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    13. Tiejun Dai & Shuo Shan, 2020. "Path Analysis of Beijing’s Dematerialization Development Based on System Dynamics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-23, January.
    14. Xianen Wang & Baoyang Qin & Hanning Wang & Xize Dong & Haiyan Duan, 2022. "Carbon Mitigation Pathways of Urban Transportation under Cold Climatic Conditions," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-16, April.
    15. Acosta-Pazmiño, Iván P. & Rivera-Solorio, C.I. & Gijón-Rivera, M., 2021. "Scaling-up the installation of hybrid solar collectors to reduce CO2 emissions in a Mexican industrial sector from now to 2030," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    16. Ana María Peco Chacón & Isaac Segovia Ramírez & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2020. "False Alarms Analysis of Wind Turbine Bearing System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-11, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vicente Sebastian Espinoza & Veronica Guayanlema & Javier Mart nez-G mez, 2018. "Energy Efficiency Plan Benefits in Ecuador: Long-range Energy Alternative Planning Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 52-54.
    2. Nieves, J.A. & Aristizábal, A.J. & Dyner, I. & Báez, O. & Ospina, D.H., 2019. "Energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions analysis in Colombia: A LEAP model application," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 380-397.
    3. Luis Rivera-González & David Bolonio & Luis F. Mazadiego & Robert Valencia-Chapi, 2019. "Long-Term Electricity Supply and Demand Forecast (2018–2040): A LEAP Model Application towards a Sustainable Power Generation System in Ecuador," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-19, September.
    4. Mondal, Md Alam Hossain & Bryan, Elizabeth & Ringler, Claudia & Mekonnen, Dawit & Rosegrant, Mark, 2018. "Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 161-172.
    5. Subramanyam, Veena & Kumar, Amit & Talaei, Alireza & Mondal, Md. Alam Hossain, 2017. "Energy efficiency improvement opportunities and associated greenhouse gas abatement costs for the residential sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 795-807.
    6. Dioha, Michael O. & Kumar, Atul, 2020. "Sustainable energy pathways for land transport in Nigeria," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Ahanchian, Mohammad & Biona, Jose Bienvenido Manuel, 2014. "Energy demand, emissions forecasts and mitigation strategies modeled over a medium-range horizon: The case of the land transportation sector in Metro Manila," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 615-629.
    8. Yang, Dewei & Liu, Dandan & Huang, Anmin & Lin, Jianyi & Xu, Lingxing, 2021. "Critical transformation pathways and socio-environmental benefits of energy substitution using a LEAP scenario modeling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    9. Ko, Fu-Kuang & Huang, Chang-Bin & Tseng, Pei-Ying & Lin, Chung-Han & Zheng, Bo-Yan & Chiu, Hsiu-Mei, 2010. "Long-term CO2 emissions reduction target and scenarios of power sector in Taiwan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 288-300, January.
    10. Prasad, Ravita D. & Bansal, R.C. & Raturi, Atul, 2014. "Multi-faceted energy planning: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 686-699.
    11. Kemal Sarıca & Wallace E. Tyner, 2016. "Economic Impacts of Increased U.S. Exports of Natural Gas: An Energy System Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-16, May.
    12. Kannika Duangnate & James W. Mjelde, 2022. "The Role of Pre-Commitments and Engle Curves in Thailand’s Aggregate Energy Demand System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-16, February.
    13. Temitope Adeyemi-Kayode & Sanjay Misra & Hope Orovwode & Anthony Adoghe, 2022. "Modeling the Next Decade of Energy Sustainability: A Case of a Developing Country," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-19, July.
    14. Pedro Gerber Machado & Ana Carolina Rodrigues Teixeira & Flavia Mendes de Almeida Collaço & Adam Hawkes & Dominique Mouette, 2020. "Assessment of Greenhouse Gases and Pollutant Emissions in the Road Freight Transport Sector: A Case Study for São Paulo State, Brazil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-26, October.
    15. Prasad, Ravita D. & Raturi, Atul, 2018. "Low-carbon measures for Fiji's land transport energy system," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 132-147.
    16. Comodi, G. & Cioccolanti, L. & Gargiulo, M., 2012. "Municipal scale scenario: Analysis of an Italian seaside town with MarkAL-TIMES," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 303-315.
    17. Tao Song & Xinling Zou & Nuo Wang & Danyang Zhang & Yuxiang Zhao & Erdan Wang, 2023. "Prediction of China’s Carbon Peak Attainment Pathway from Both Production-Side and Consumption-Side Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-15, March.
    18. Kumar, Subhash & Madlener, Reinhard, 2016. "CO2 emission reduction potential assessment using renewable energy in India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 273-282.
    19. Sarica, Kemal & Tyner, Wallace E., 2013. "Alternative policy impacts on US GHG emissions and energy security: A hybrid modeling approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 40-50.
    20. Liang, Yuanyuan & Yu, Biying & Wang, Lu, 2019. "Costs and benefits of renewable energy development in China's power industry," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 700-712.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:127:y:2019:i:c:p:350-360. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.