IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eneeco/v97y2021ics0140988320304278.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Subsidy strategy for distributed photovoltaics: A combined view of cost change and economic development

Author

Listed:
  • Tang, Songlin
  • Zhou, Wenbing
  • Li, Xinjin
  • Chen, Yingchao
  • Zhang, Qian
  • Zhang, Xiliang

Abstract

Diminishing government subsidies for distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems have aroused wide public concern. This paper intends to explore the influence mechanism of economic development and DPV subsidy strategy and provide a reference for promoting DPV development. Evolutionary game theory and empirical analysis are used to analyze the interactions between government and users in the process of DPV installation in China. The results from simulation analysis and empirical analysis show that the effect of DPV subsides is restricted by regional economic development. Based on local economic development, the government can choose high subsidy strategy or low subsidy strategy to guide the DPV development in a reasonable way. Additionally, the decreasing cost can effectively boost the demand for DPV investment with less subsidies, which accounts for why the government has reduced DPV subsidies. However, subsidy strategy will remain an important tool that coordinates local economies with DPV construction until the electricity generated by DPV systems can achieve grid connection at a comparable price. Moreover, technological innovation should be encouraged to reduce installation cost so that DPV systems can be accessed at affordable prices as soon as possible.

Suggested Citation

  • Tang, Songlin & Zhou, Wenbing & Li, Xinjin & Chen, Yingchao & Zhang, Qian & Zhang, Xiliang, 2021. "Subsidy strategy for distributed photovoltaics: A combined view of cost change and economic development," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:97:y:2021:i:c:s0140988320304278
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2020.105087
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988320304278
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eneco.2020.105087?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xiong, Yongqing & Yang, Xiaohan, 2016. "Government subsidies for the Chinese photovoltaic industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 111-119.
    2. Fan, Ruguo & Dong, Lili, 2018. "The dynamic analysis and simulation of government subsidy strategies in low-carbon diffusion considering the behavior of heterogeneous agents," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 252-262.
    3. Cole, Wesley & Frew, Bethany & Gagnon, Pieter & Reimers, Andrew & Zuboy, Jarett & Margolis, Robert, 2018. "Envisioning a low-cost solar future: Exploring the potential impact of Achieving the SunShot 2030 targets for photovoltaics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 690-704.
    4. Lai, Chun Sing & McCulloch, Malcolm D., 2017. "Levelized cost of electricity for solar photovoltaic and electrical energy storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 191-203.
    5. Yu, Feifei & Guo, Yue & Le-Nguyen, Khuong & Barnes, Stuart J. & Zhang, Weiting, 2016. "The impact of government subsidies and enterprises’ R&D investment: A panel data study from renewable energy in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 106-113.
    6. Yong Jun Baek & Tae Yong Jung & Sung Jin Kang, 2019. "Low carbon scenarios and policies for the power sector in Botswana," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 219-230, February.
    7. Zhang, M.M. & Zhou, P. & Zhou, D.Q., 2016. "A real options model for renewable energy investment with application to solar photovoltaic power generation in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 213-226.
    8. Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "How much does financial development contribute to renewable energy growth and upgrading of energy structure in China?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 114-124.
    9. Huijben, J.C.C.M. & Verbong, G.P.J., 2013. "Breakthrough without subsidies? PV business model experiments in the Netherlands," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 362-370.
    10. Haar, Lawrence, 2020. "An empirical analysis of the fiscal incidence of renewable energy support in the European Union," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Qin, Quande & Liu, Yuan & Huang, Jia-Ping, 2020. "A cooperative game analysis for the allocation of carbon emissions reduction responsibility in China's power industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    12. Duan, Hongbo & Mo, Jianlei & Fan, Ying & Wang, Shouyang, 2018. "Achieving China's energy and climate policy targets in 2030 under multiple uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 45-60.
    13. Cohen, Jed & Azarova, Valeriya & Kollmann, Andrea & Reichl, Johannes, 2019. "Q-complementarity in household adoption of photovoltaics and electricity-intensive goods: The case of electric vehicles," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 567-577.
    14. Hagerman, Shelly & Jaramillo, Paulina & Morgan, M. Granger, 2016. "Is rooftop solar PV at socket parity without subsidies?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 84-94.
    15. Frey, Elaine F. & Mojtahedi, Saba, 2018. "The impact of solar subsidies on California's non-residential sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 27-35.
    16. Zhu, Bangzhu & Su, Bin & Li, Yingzhu & Ng, Tsan Sheng, 2020. "Embodied energy and intensity in China’s (normal and processing) exports and their driving forces, 2005-2015," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    17. Palm, Alvar & Lantz, Björn, 2020. "Information dissemination and residential solar PV adoption rates: The effect of an information campaign in Sweden," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    18. Lim, Sesil & Huh, Sung-Yoon & Shin, Jungwoo & Lee, Jongsu & Lee, Yong-Gil, 2019. "Enhancing public acceptance of renewable heat obligation policies in South Korea: Consumer preferences and policy implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1167-1177.
    19. Lin, Boqiang & Xu, Mengmeng, 2019. "Good subsidies or bad subsidies? Evidence from low-carbon transition in China's metallurgical industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 52-60.
    20. Newell, Richard G. & Pizer, William A. & Raimi, Daniel, 2019. "U.S. federal government subsidies for clean energy: Design choices and implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 831-841.
    21. Yu, Feifei & Wang, Liting & Li, Xiaotong, 2020. "The effects of government subsidies on new energy vehicle enterprises: The moderating role of intelligent transformation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    22. Özdemir, Özge & Hobbs, Benjamin F. & van Hout, Marit & Koutstaal, Paul R., 2020. "Capacity vs energy subsidies for promoting renewable investment: Benefits and costs for the EU power market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    23. Martelli, Emanuele & Freschini, Marco & Zatti, Matteo, 2020. "Optimization of renewable energy subsidy and carbon tax for multi energy systems using bilevel programming," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    24. Chen, Weidong & Zeng, Yu & Xu, Chongqing, 2019. "Energy storage subsidy estimation for microgrid: A real option game-theoretic approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 373-382.
    25. Li, Yan & Zhang, Qi & Wang, Ge & McLellan, Benjamin & Liu, Xue Fei & Wang, Le, 2018. "A review of photovoltaic poverty alleviation projects in China: Current status, challenge and policy recommendations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 214-223.
    26. Lu, Qing & Lü, Shuaikang & Leng, Yajun, 2019. "A Nash-Stackelberg game approach in regional energy market considering users’ integrated demand response," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 456-470.
    27. Dietrich, Andreas & Weber, Christoph, 2018. "What drives profitability of grid-connected residential PV storage systems? A closer look with focus on Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 399-416.
    28. Lu, Qing & Yu, Hao & Zhao, Kangli & Leng, Yajun & Hou, Jianchao & Xie, Pinjie, 2019. "Residential demand response considering distributed PV consumption: A model based on China's PV policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 443-456.
    29. Duan, Hongbo & Mo, Jianlei & Fan, Ying & Wang, Shouyang, 2018. "Achieving China's energy and climate policy targets in 2030 under multiple uncertainties," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86481, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    30. Kang, Sang Baum & Létourneau, Pascal, 2016. "Investors’ reaction to the government credibility problem: A real option analysis of emission permit policy risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 96-107.
    31. Liu, Xiaoran & Ronn, Ehud I., 2020. "Using the binomial model for the valuation of real options in computing optimal subsidies for Chinese renewable energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    32. Xu, Xiaofeng & Wei, Zhifei & Ji, Qiang & Wang, Chenglong & Gao, Guowei, 2019. "Global renewable energy development: Influencing factors, trend predictions and countermeasures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    33. Ma, Ben & Yu, Yihua & Urban, Frauke, 2018. "Green transition of energy systems in rural China: National survey evidence of households’ discrete choices on water heaters," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 559-570.
    34. Yang, Xiaolei & He, Lingyun & Xia, Yufei & Chen, Yufeng, 2019. "Effect of government subsidies on renewable energy investments: The threshold effect," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 156-166.
    35. Ji, Shou-feng & Zhao, Dan & Luo, Rong-juan, 2019. "Evolutionary game analysis on local governments and manufacturers' behavioral strategies: Impact of phasing out subsidies for new energy vehicles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    36. Yang, Fei-fei & Zhao, Xin-gang, 2018. "Policies and economic efficiency of China's distributed photovoltaic and energy storage industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 221-230.
    37. Braito, Michael & Flint, Courtney & Muhar, Andreas & Penker, Marianne & Vogel, Stefan, 2017. "Individual and collective socio-psychological patterns of photovoltaic investment under diverging policy regimes of Austria and Italy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 141-153.
    38. Dong, Rentao & Xu, Jiuping & Lin, Bo, 2017. "ROI-based study on impact factors of distributed PV projects by LSSVM-PSO," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 336-349.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kishore, D.J. Krishna & Mohamed, M.R. & Sudhakar, K. & Peddakapu, K., 2023. "Swarm intelligence-based MPPT design for PV systems under diverse partial shading conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    2. Ding, Liping & Zhu, Yuxuan & Zheng, Longwei & Dai, Qiyao & Zhang, Zumeng, 2023. "What is the path of photovoltaic building (BIPV or BAPV) promotion? --The perspective of evolutionary games," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    3. Liu, Jicheng & Sun, Jiakang & Yuan, Hanying & Su, Yihan & Feng, Shuxian & Lu, Chaoran, 2022. "Behavior analysis of photovoltaic-storage-use value chain game evolution in blockchain environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    4. Chen, Shangrong & Bravo-Melgarejo, Sai & Mongeau, Romain & Malavolti, Estelle, 2023. "Adopting and diffusing hydrogen technology in air transport: An evolutionary game theory approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Yuanying Chi & Wenbing Zhou & Songlin Tang & Yu Hu, 2022. "Driving Factors of CO 2 Emissions in China’s Power Industry: Relative Importance Analysis Based on Spatial Durbin Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-15, April.
    6. Zhao, Tian & Liu, Zhixin & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2022. "Developing hydrogen refueling stations: An evolutionary game approach and the case of China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    7. Henrik Zsiborács & András Vincze & István Háber & Gábor Pintér & Nóra Hegedűsné Baranyai, 2023. "Challenges of Establishing Solar Power Stations in Hungary," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-19, January.
    8. Xu, Xiaofeng & Cui, Xiaodan & Chen, Xiangyu & Zhou, Yichen, 2022. "Impact of government subsidies on the innovation performance of the photovoltaic industry: Based on the moderating effect of carbon trading prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    9. Wang, Yadong & Mao, Jinqi & Chen, Fan & Wang, Delu, 2022. "Uncovering the dynamics and uncertainties of substituting coal power with renewable energy resources," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 669-686.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bai, Rui & Lin, Boqiang & Liu, Xiying, 2021. "Government subsidies and firm-level renewable energy investment: New evidence from partially linear functional-coefficient models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    2. Liu, Zhengguang & Guo, Zhiling & Chen, Qi & Song, Chenchen & Shang, Wenlong & Yuan, Meng & Zhang, Haoran, 2023. "A review of data-driven smart building-integrated photovoltaic systems: Challenges and objectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    3. Liu, Chang & Liu, Linlin & Zhang, Dayong & Fu, Jiasha, 2021. "How does the capital market respond to policy shocks? Evidence from listed solar photovoltaic companies in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. Ting Zhang & Shuaishuai Cao & Lingying Pan & Chenyu Zhou, 2020. "A Policy Effect Analysis of China’s Energy Storage Development Based on a Multi-Agent Evolutionary Game Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-35, November.
    5. Wu, Wei & Hu, Yingying & Wu, Qinwen, 2023. "Subsidies and tax incentives - Does it make a difference on TFP? Evidences from China's photovoltaic and wind listed companies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 645-656.
    6. Tu, Qiang & Mo, Jianlei & Betz, Regina & Cui, Lianbiao & Fan, Ying & Liu, Yu, 2020. "Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    7. Wang, Qunwei & Fan, Zining, 2023. "Green finance and investment behavior of renewable energy enterprises: A case study of China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    8. Tu, Qiang & Betz, Regina & Mo, Jianlei & Fan, Ying, 2019. "The profitability of onshore wind and solar PV power projects in China - A comparative study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 404-417.
    9. Kai Chang & Ning Lu & Ze Sheng Li & Yi Ran Wang, 2021. "The combined impacts of fiscal and credit policies on green firm's investment opportunity: Evidences from Chinese firm‐level analysis," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1822-1835, October.
    10. Yana Buravleva & Decai Tang & Brandon J. Bethel, 2021. "Incentivizing Innovation: The Causal Role of Government Subsidies on Lithium-Ion Battery Research and Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-16, July.
    11. Xu, Li & Zhang, Qin & Wang, Keying & Shi, Xunpeng, 2020. "Subsidies, loans, and companies' performance: evidence from China's photovoltaic industry," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    12. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2020. "Chinese renewable energy industries’ boom and recession: Evidence from bubble detection procedure," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    13. Xu, Li & Zhang, Qin & Shi, Xunpeng, 2019. "Stakeholders strategies in poverty alleviation and clean energy access: A case study of China's PV poverty alleviation program," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    14. Jia, Zhijie & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "How to achieve the first step of the carbon-neutrality 2060 target in China: The coal substitution perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    15. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Ho, Shan-Ju, 2022. "Impacts of export diversification on energy intensity, renewable energy, and waste energy in 121 countries: Do environmental regulations matter?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 1510-1522.
    16. Garfield Wayne Hunter & Gideon Sagoe & Daniele Vettorato & Ding Jiayu, 2019. "Sustainability of Low Carbon City Initiatives in China: A Comprehensive Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-37, August.
    17. Zheng, Jiali & Mi, Zhifu & Coffman, D'Maris & Milcheva, Stanimira & Shan, Yuli & Guan, Dabo & Wang, Shouyang, 2019. "Regional development and carbon emissions in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 25-36.
    18. Shahnazi, Rouhollah & Dehghan Shabani, Zahra, 2020. "Do renewable energy production spillovers matter in the EU?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 786-796.
    19. Di Wang & Yuman Li, 2022. "Measuring the Policy Effectiveness of China’s New-Energy Vehicle Industry and Its Differential Impact on Supply and Demand Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-16, July.
    20. Qiong Chen & Hongyu Zhang & Yui-Yip Lau & Tianni Wang & Wen Wang & Guangsheng Zhang, 2023. "Climate Change, Carbon Peaks, and Carbon Neutralization: A Bibliometric Study from 2006 to 2023," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-12, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:97:y:2021:i:c:s0140988320304278. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.