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Non-Gaussian GARCH option pricing models and their diffusion limits

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  • Badescu, Alexandru
  • Elliott, Robert J.
  • Ortega, Juan-Pablo

Abstract

This paper investigates the weak convergence of general non-Gaussian GARCH models together with an application to the pricing of European style options determined using an extended Girsanov principle and a conditional Esscher transform as the pricing kernel candidates. Applying these changes of measure to asymmetric GARCH models sampled at increasing frequencies, we obtain two risk neutral families of processes which converge to different bivariate diffusions, which are no longer standard Hull–White stochastic volatility models. Regardless of the innovations used, the GARCH implied diffusion limit based on the Esscher transform can be obtained by applying the minimal martingale measure under the physical measure. However, we further show that for skewed GARCH driving noise, the risk neutral diffusion limit of the extended Girsanov principle exhibits a non-zero market price of volatility risk which is proportional to the market price of the equity risk, where the constant of proportionality depends on the skewness and kurtosis of the underlying distribution. Our theoretical results are further supported by numerical simulations and a calibration exercise to observed market quotes.

Suggested Citation

  • Badescu, Alexandru & Elliott, Robert J. & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2015. "Non-Gaussian GARCH option pricing models and their diffusion limits," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 247(3), pages 820-830.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:247:y:2015:i:3:p:820-830
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.06.046
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    2. Escobar-Anel, Marcos & Rastegari, Javad & Stentoft, Lars, 2021. "Option pricing with conditional GARCH models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 350-363.
    3. Ballestra, Luca Vincenzo & D’Innocenzo, Enzo & Guizzardi, Andrea, 2024. "A new bivariate approach for modeling the interaction between stock volatility and interest rate: An application to S&P500 returns and options," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(3), pages 1185-1194.
    4. Matthieu Garcin & Clément Goulet, 2015. "Non-parameteric news impact curve: a variational approach," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 15086r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Jul 2016.
    5. Escobar-Anel, Marcos & Rastegari, Javad & Stentoft, Lars, 2023. "Covariance dependent kernels, a Q-affine GARCH for multi-asset option pricing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Sharif Mozumder & Bakhtear Talukdar & M. Humayun Kabir & Bingxin Li, 2024. "Non-linear volatility with normal inverse Gaussian innovations: ad-hoc analytic option pricing," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 97-133, January.
    7. Matthieu Garcin & Clément Goulet, 2015. "Non-parameteric news impact curve: a variational approach," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 15086rr, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Feb 2017.

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