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Optimal crude oil procurement under fluctuating price in an oil refinery

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  • Chen, Ruoran
  • Deng, Tianhu
  • Huang, Simin
  • Qin, Ruwen

Abstract

In this paper, we study the optimal procurement and operation of an oil refinery. The crude oil prices follow geometric Brownian motion processes with correlation. We build a multiperiod inventory problem where each period involves an operation problem such as separation or blending. The decisions are the amount of crude oils to purchase and the amount of oil products to produce. We employ approximate dynamic programming methods to solve this multiperiod multiproduct optimization problem. Numerical results reveal that this complex problem can be approximately solved with little loss of optimality. Further, we find that the approximate solution significantly outperforms a set of myopic policies that are currently used.

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  • Chen, Ruoran & Deng, Tianhu & Huang, Simin & Qin, Ruwen, 2015. "Optimal crude oil procurement under fluctuating price in an oil refinery," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 245(2), pages 438-445.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:245:y:2015:i:2:p:438-445
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.03.002
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    8. Trigeorgis, Lenos & Tsekrekos, Andrianos E., 2018. "Real Options in Operations Research: A Review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(1), pages 1-24.
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    10. Kumar, Sourabh & Barua, Mukesh Kumar, 2022. "A modeling framework and analysis of challenges faced by the Indian petroleum supply chain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).

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