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Oil price shocks and stock return volatility: New evidence based on volatility impulse response analysis

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  • Eraslan, Sercan
  • Menla Ali, Faek

Abstract

We use volatility impulse response analysis to quantify the size and the persistence of different types of oil price shocks on oil and stock return volatility dynamics. Our results show that precautionary demand followed by aggregate demand-side shocks, compared to supply-side ones, have higher positive and persistent effects on stock return volatility whereas the covariances between the two variables are mostly affected by the former shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Eraslan, Sercan & Menla Ali, Faek, 2018. "Oil price shocks and stock return volatility: New evidence based on volatility impulse response analysis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 59-62.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:172:y:2018:i:c:p:59-62
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.08.022
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Boldanov, Rustam & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2016. "Time-varying correlation between oil and stock market volatilities: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 209-220.
    5. Filis, George & Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2011. "Dynamic correlation between stock market and oil prices: The case of oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 152-164, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

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    7. Toparlı, Elif Akay & Çatık, Abdurrahman Nazif & Balcılar, Mehmet, 2019. "The impact of oil prices on the stock returns in Turkey: A TVP-VAR approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    8. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf Mohsen & Brooks, Robert, 2022. "Risk transmission from the oil market to Islamic and conventional banks in oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
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    11. David Iheke Okorie & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Crude oil market and Nigerian stocks: An asymmetric information spillover approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4002-4017, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil price shocks; Stock returns; Volatility impulse response analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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