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On the explanation of the Lucas Paradox

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  • Göktan, Mehmet Gökhan

Abstract

This paper demonstrates that institutional quality provides a full explanation to the Lucas Paradox when country heterogeneity is controlled. Furthermore, in terms of the explanation of the paradox, quantile regression estimates reveal that foreign flows are driven by theoretical explanations at the lower tail, despite that they are significantly affected by growth prospects towards the higher tail.

Suggested Citation

  • Göktan, Mehmet Gökhan, 2015. "On the explanation of the Lucas Paradox," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 109-113.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:137:y:2015:i:c:p:109-113
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.10.038
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1990. "Why Doesn't Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 92-96, May.
    2. Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson & James A. Robinson, 2001. "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1369-1401, December.
    3. Azémar, Céline & Desbordes, Rodolphe, 2013. "Has the Lucas Paradox been fully explained?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 183-187.
    4. Abdul Abiad & Enrica Detragiache & Thierry Tressel, 2010. "A New Database of Financial Reforms," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 57(2), pages 281-302, June.
    5. Laura Alfaro & Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Vadym Volosovych, 2008. "Why Doesn't Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries? An Empirical Investigation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(2), pages 347-368, May.
    6. Robert E. Hall & Charles I. Jones, 1999. "Why do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker than Others?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 114(1), pages 83-116.
    7. Kaufmann, Daniel & Kraay, Aart & Mastruzzi, Massimo, 2010. "The worldwide governance indicators : methodology and analytical issues," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5430, The World Bank.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Lucas Paradox; Cross-border capital flows; Institutions; Quantile regression;

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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