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Short-term growth effects of fiscal policy revisited: A Markov-switching approach

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  • Arin, K. Peren
  • Spagnolo, Nicola

Abstract

This paper investigates the growth effects of three different types of tax policy innovations on short-term economic growth within a Markov-switching framework applied to the U.S. economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Arin, K. Peren & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2011. "Short-term growth effects of fiscal policy revisited: A Markov-switching approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 278-281, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:110:y:2011:i:3:p:278-281
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hansen, Bruce E, 1992. "The Likelihood Ratio Test under Nonstandard Conditions: Testing the Markov Switching Model of GNP," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(S), pages 61-82, Suppl. De.
    2. Roberto Perotti, 2005. "Estimating the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    3. Adam, Christopher S. & Bevan, David L., 2005. "Fiscal deficits and growth in developing countries," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(4), pages 571-597, April.
    4. Kneller, Richard & Bleaney, Michael F. & Gemmell, Norman, 1999. "Fiscal policy and growth: evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 171-190, November.
    5. Olivier Blanchard & Roberto Perotti, 2002. "An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(4), pages 1329-1368.
    6. Lee, Young & Gordon, Roger H., 2005. "Tax structure and economic growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(5-6), pages 1027-1043, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chibi Abderrahim & Chekouri Sidi Mohamed & Benbouziane Mohamed, 2019. "The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Activity over the Business Cycle: An Empirical Investigation in the Case of Algeria," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, December.
    2. Seuk Wai & Mohd Tahir Ismail & Siok Kun Sek, 2013. "A Study of Intercept Adjusted Markov Switching Vector Autoregressive Model in Economic Time Series Data," Information Management and Business Review, AMH International, vol. 5(8), pages 379-384.
    3. Topal, Pinar, 2015. "Fiscal stimulus and labor market flexibility," SAFE Working Paper Series 90, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    4. Jha, Shikha & Mallick, Sushanta K. & Park, Donghyun & Quising, Pilipinas F., 2014. "Effectiveness of countercyclical fiscal policy: Evidence from developing Asia," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 82-98.

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    Keywords

    Fiscal policy Markov-switching;

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