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Spurious correlation under fractional integration in output series

Listed author(s):
  • Dalkir, Mehmet

This article identifies caveats of using the correlation coefficient between two fractionally integrated time series as a measure of association between them, and compares various procedures for removing the long-range dependence component in the output series of the G7.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165-1765(10)00015-7
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 107 (2010)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 165-168

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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:107:y:2010:i:2:p:165-168
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet

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  1. Brian M. Doyle & Jon Faust, 2005. "Breaks in the Variability and Comovement of G-7 Economic Growth," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(4), pages 721-740, November.
  2. M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar S. Prasad & Marco E. Terrones, 2003. "How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(2), pages 57-62, May.
  3. Baxter, Marianne & Kouparitsas, Michael A., 2005. "Determinants of business cycle comovement: a robust analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 113-157, January.
  4. Jean Imbs, 2004. "Trade, Finance, Specialization, and Synchronization," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(3), pages 723-734, August.
  5. Backus, David K & Kehoe, Patrick J, 1992. "International Evidence of the Historical Properties of Business Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 864-888, September.
  6. Chung, Ching-Fan, 2002. "Sample Means, Sample Autocovariances, And Linear Regression Of Stationary Multivariate Long Memory Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(01), pages 51-78, February.
  7. Robin L. Lumsdaine & Eswar S. Prasad, 2003. "Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(484), pages 101-127, January.
  8. Michael D. Bordo & Thomas Helbling, 2003. "Have National Business Cycles Become More Synchronized?," NBER Working Papers 10130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 311-340, December.
  10. repec:esx:essedp:543 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. Tsay, Wen-Jen & Chung, Ching-Fan, 2000. "The spurious regression of fractionally integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 155-182, May.
  12. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
  13. Wen-Jen Tsay, 2007. "Using Difference-Based Methods for Inference in Regression with Fractionally Integrated Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(6), pages 827-843, November.
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