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Production and hedging decisions under regret aversion

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  • Guo, Xu
  • Wong, Wing-Keung
  • Xu, Qunfang
  • Zhu, Xuehu

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate regret-averse firms' production and hedging behaviors. We first show that the separation theorem is still alive under regret aversion by proving that regret aversion is independent of the level of optimal production. On the other hand, we find that the full-hedging theorem does not always hold under regret aversion as the regret-averse firms take hedged positions different from those of risk-averse firms in some situations. With more regret aversion, regret-averse firms will hold smaller optimal hedging positions in an unbiased futures market. Furthermore, contrary to the conventional expectations, we show that banning firms from forward trading affects their production level in both directions.

Suggested Citation

  • Guo, Xu & Wong, Wing-Keung & Xu, Qunfang & Zhu, Xuehu, 2015. "Production and hedging decisions under regret aversion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 153-158.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:51:y:2015:i:c:p:153-158
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.08.007
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    15. Broll, Udo & Welzel, Peter & Wong, Kit Pong, 2019. "Hedging and the regret theory of the competitive firm," CEPIE Working Papers 05/19, Technische Universität Dresden, Center of Public and International Economics (CEPIE).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Production; Hedging; Regret aversion; Risk aversion; Competitive firms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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