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The role of liquid government bonds in the great transformation of American monetary policy

  • Canzoneri, Matthew
  • Cumby, Robert
  • Diba, Behzad
  • López-Salido, David

A fundamental shift in monetary policy occurred around 1980: the Fed went from a "passive" policy to an "active" policy. We study a model in which government bonds provide transactions services. We present two calibrations of our model, using pre- and post-1980 data. We show that estimates of pre- and post-1980 policy rules all lie within our determinacy regions. But, the pre-1980 policy was a very bad monetary policy, even if it avoided sunspot equilibria. Model simulations suggest that household welfare would have increased by 3.3 percent of permanent consumption in this period under an active policy.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

Volume (Year): 35 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 (March)
Pages: 282-294

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Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:35:y:2011:i:3:p:282-294
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jedc

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  16. Roberto Perotti, 2005. "Estimating the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  17. Thomas Lubik & Frank Schorfheide, 2002. "Testing for Indeterminacy:An Application to U.S. Monetary Policy," Economics Working Paper Archive 480, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics, revised Jun 2003.
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