IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v409y2026ics0306261926001443.html

Value co-creation in the renewable energy-hydrogen-methanol chain: A complex network evolutionary game under multi-market contexts

Author

Listed:
  • Shi, Rong
  • Chen, Yue
  • Yang, Shuxia
  • Wang, Xiongfei

Abstract

The extension of the green hydrogen value chain plays a vital role in optimizing the energy structure and advancing the development of clean energy. However, the storage and transportation of green hydrogen pose a significant challenge to its expansion. As a promising hydrogen carrier, green e-methanol is expected to provide an effective pathway for promoting the application of green hydrogen. This work constructs a complex network evolutionary game model within a multi-market coupling context to investigate the strategic evolution of value co-creation in a renewable‑hydrogen-methanol value chain (RHMV) consisting of renewable energy, green hydrogen, and methanol producers. It further examines the effects of key influencing factors. The study yields the following findings: (1) A portion of participants in the RHMV are inclined to engage in value co-creation. (2) When the initial willingness to cooperate is low, value co-creation cannot be realized, and the effect of increasing this parameter differs heterogeneously among different participating entities. (3) Carbon quota prices, government subsidies, e-methanol prices, and green certificate prices all possess incentive thresholds, and their incentive effects are nonlinear. (4) There are feasible ranges for hydrogen production energy consumption and the electricity price fluctuation coefficient, with the optimal values differing across various entities within the RHMV. Finally, corresponding policy recommendations are provided based on the research findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Shi, Rong & Chen, Yue & Yang, Shuxia & Wang, Xiongfei, 2026. "Value co-creation in the renewable energy-hydrogen-methanol chain: A complex network evolutionary game under multi-market contexts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 409(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:409:y:2026:i:c:s0306261926001443
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127492
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261926001443
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127492?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chang, Xin & Wu, Zhaoyuan & Wang, Jingting & Zhang, Xingyu & Zhou, Ming & Yu, Tao & Wang, Yuyang, 2023. "The coupling effect of carbon emission trading and tradable green certificates under electricity marketization in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    2. Liu, Da & Jiang, Yan & Peng, Chuan & Jian, Jianhui & Zheng, Jing, 2024. "Can green certificates substitute for renewable electricity subsidies? A Chinese experience," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    3. Galimova, Tansu & Fasihi, Mahdi & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Lopez, Gabriel & Breyer, Christian, 2025. "Analysis of green e-methanol supply costs: Domestic production in Europe versus imports via pipeline and sea shipping," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    4. Shi, Rong & Guo, Xiaopeng & Ren, Dongfang, 2025. "How to extend the photovoltaic value chain? A blockchain-based strategy for photovoltaic-storage-hydrogen integration with green electricity trading," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
    5. Safder, Usman & Loy-Benitez, Jorge & Yoo, ChangKyoo, 2024. "Techno-economic assessment of a novel integrated multigeneration system to synthesize e-methanol and green hydrogen in a carbon-neutral context," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    6. Wu, Jiahao & Zhao, Yuhuan & Fan, Shunan & Zhao, Ziyi & Zuo, Sumin & Wang, Jiayang, 2025. "Study on the diffusion of China Certified Emission Reduction scheme under carbon trading mechanism: Based on the tripartite evolutionary game model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    7. Alberto Alamia & Behzad Partoon & Eoghan Rattigan & Gorm Brunn Andresen, 2024. "Optimizing hydrogen and e-methanol production through Power-to-X integration in biogas plants," Papers 2406.00442, arXiv.org.
    8. Meng, Xueyu & Han, Sijie & Wu, Leilei & Si, Shubin & Cai, Zhiqiang, 2022. "Analysis of epidemic vaccination strategies by node importance and evolutionary game on complex networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    9. Zhu, Chaoping & Su, Yixuan & Fan, Ruguo & Xu, Ruiheng & Li, Bing, 2025. "Research on the optimal incentive and constraint mechanisms for corporate carbon information disclosure considering different market contexts: A network-based evolutionary game analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    10. Azadnia, Amir Hossein & McDaid, Conor & Andwari, Amin Mahmoudzadeh & Hosseini, Seyed Ehsan, 2023. "Green hydrogen supply chain risk analysis: A european hard-to-abate sectors perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    11. Anser, Muhammad Khalid & Nazar, Raima & Ali, Sajid, 2025. "Green hydrogen hope: How strategic budget allocations translate to emission reductions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    12. Sillman, Jani & Ylä-Kujala, Antti & Hyypiä, Jaakko & Kärri, Timo & Tuomaala, Mari & Soukka, Risto, 2025. "Feasibility assessment of e-methanol value chains: Temporal and regional renewable energy, costs, and climate impacts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 391(C).
    13. Xing Zhou & Jianze Xu & Ming Zhang & Anyi Niu & Chuxia Lin, 2025. "Gaps between market performance, government planning and social objectives: projections and comparisons of carbon price intervals," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-20, December.
    14. Guo, Xiaopeng & Zhang, Xinyue & Zhang, Xingping, 2024. "Incentive-oriented power‑carbon emissions trading-tradable green certificate integrated market mechanisms using multi-agent deep reinforcement learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    15. Li, Jingjing & Jiao, Jianling & Tang, Yunshu, 2019. "An evolutionary analysis on the effect of government policies on electric vehicle diffusion in complex network," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 1-12.
    16. Bag, Surajit & Routray, Susmi & Rahman, Muhammad Sabbir & Shrivastav, Santosh Kumar, 2025. "Investigate the effect of green hydrogen supply chain integration on supply chain resilience: Organization information processing theory perspective," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    17. Adrian Odenweller & Falko Ueckerdt, 2025. "The green hydrogen ambition and implementation gap," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 110-123, January.
    18. Wu, Yu’e & Liu, Zeyun & Wang, Xinyu & Zhang, Shuhua & Feng, Jixin, 2024. "An evolutionary dynamical analysis of low-carbon technology diffusion among enterprises in the complex network," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    19. Ge, Pingxu & Tang, Daogui & Yuan, Yuji & Guerrero, Josep M. & Zio, Enrico, 2025. "A hierarchical multi-objective co-optimization framework for sizing and energy management of coupled hydrogen-electricity energy storage systems at ports," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 384(C).
    20. Tabibian, Seyed Shayan & Sharifzadeh, Mahdi, 2023. "Statistical and analytical investigation of methanol applications, production technologies, value-chain and economy with a special focus on renewable methanol," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    21. Cui, Ziyuan & Wu, Yan & Chen, Shengbin & Bian, Siying & Tang, Shuo & Wang, Yufei & Xu, Chunming, 2025. "Generalized methodology for the optimization of biomass-green hydrogen-based e-fuel system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 378(PA).
    22. Galimova, Tansu & Karjunen, Hannu & Lassila, Jukka & Satymov, Rasul & Breyer, Christian, 2025. "Techno-economic analysis of e-methanol infrastructure choice for the case of Finland," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    23. Chen, Feng & Wu, Bin & Lou, Wen-qian & Zhu, Bo-wen, 2024. "Impact of dual-credit policy on diffusion of technology R & D among automakers: Based on an evolutionary game model with technology-spillover in complex network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    24. Yu, Zhipeng & Lin, Jin & Liu, Feng & Chi, Yingtian & Song, Yonghua & You, Fengqi, 2025. "Achieving 100 % renewable e-methanol incorporating biomass-fired generation: A techno-economic study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 389(C).
    25. Liu, Jicheng & Sun, Jiakang & Bao, Hongyan & Lu, Yunyuan, 2025. "Research on value co-creation of green hydrogen value chain considering carbon emission trading: A multi-layer complex network evolutionary game perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    26. Li, Jingjing & Jiao, Jianling & Tang, Yunshu, 2020. "Analysis of the impact of policies intervention on electric vehicles adoption considering information transmission—based on consumer network model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    27. Naderipour, Amirreza & Kamyab, Hesam & Klemeš, Jiří Jaromír & Ebrahimi, Reza & Chelliapan, Shreeshivadasan & Nowdeh, Saber Arabi & Abdullah, Aldrin & Hedayati Marzbali, Massoomeh, 2022. "Optimal design of hybrid grid-connected photovoltaic/wind/battery sustainable energy system improving reliability, cost and emission," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhu, Lu & He, Juan, 2026. "Effects of multiple incentive policies on carbon information disclosure strategies of power battery: A complex network evolutionary game analysis," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    2. Ning, Jiajun & Xiong, Lixin & Shao, Changhua, 2025. "Dynamic evolution analysis of enterprises digital technology innovation strategies in energy supply chain collaboration: A bargaining theory perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    3. Yao, Xusheng & Shao, Zhiqi & Wang, Ze & Zhu, Zhu & Chen, Zuanxu & Wu, Qingyang, 2025. "Policy incentives and market mechanisms dual-driven framework for new energy vehicles promotion," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    4. Wang, Benke & Li, Chunhua & Ban, Yongshuang & Zhao, Zeming & Wang, Zengxu, 2025. "A multi-market equilibrium model considering the carbon-green certificate mutual recognition trading mechanism under the electricity market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(C).
    5. Ruguo Fan & Rongkai Chen, 2022. "Promotion Policies for Electric Vehicle Diffusion in China Considering Dynamic Consumer Preferences: A Network-Based Evolutionary Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Wang, Jingbo & Wen, Jianfeng & Long, Chao & Yang, Bo & Jiang, Lin, 2026. "Global electricity-carbon market nexus: A systematic review of synergistic efforts towards a net-zero power sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 402(PB).
    7. Wang, Yitong & Fan, Ruguo & Du, Kang & Bao, Xuguang, 2023. "Exploring incentives to promote electric vehicles diffusion under subsidy abolition: An evolutionary analysis on multiplex consumer social networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    8. Zhang, Yue & Zhao, Xin-gang & Zhou, Ying & Wang, Hui, 2025. "Impact of combined environmental policies on carbon emission reduction: A system dynamics analysis," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    9. Ying, Zhou & Xuefeng, Jia & Hui, Wang & Junling, Huang, 2025. "Incentive mechanism design for mandatory green certificate trading in China: A collective action perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
    10. Li, Xu & Deng, Jianhua & Liu, Jichun, 2025. "Energy–carbon–green certificates management strategy for integrated energy system using carbon–green certificates double-direction interaction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    11. Wu, Yu’e & Yin, Anran & Zheng, Yan & Wang, Xinyu & Zhang, Shuhua, 2025. "Research on the diffusion of electric vehicles based on dynamic games under the influence of environmental regulations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    12. Schumm, Leon & Haas, Jannik & Peer, Rebecca & Sterner, Michael, 2026. "The role of hydrogen offtaker regulation in highly renewable electricity systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 342(C).
    13. Zeng, Lijun & Du, Wenjing & Zhao, Laijun & Chen, Shuai, 2024. "An inter-provincial coordinate model under Renewable Portfolio Standards policy based on tradable green certificate options trading," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    14. Wenchuan Meng & Zaimin Yang & Jingyi Yu & Xin Lin & Ming Yu & Yankun Zhu, 2025. "Multi-Market Coupling Mechanism of Offshore Wind Power with Energy Storage Participating in Electricity, Carbon, and Green Certificates," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(15), pages 1-22, August.
    15. Wu, Yu’e & Liu, Zeyun & Wang, Xinyu & Yin, Anran & Zhang, Shuhua, 2026. "Research on the diffusion of low-carbon technologies through trilateral evolutionary game based on incentive mechanisms," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 516(C).
    16. Tom Terlouw & Christian Moretti & Carina Harpprecht & Romain Sacchi & Russell McKenna & Christian Bauer, 2025. "Global greenhouse gas emissions mitigation potential of existing and planned hydrogen projects," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 10(12), pages 1503-1515, December.
    17. Han, Jian & Zhou, Ying & Weng, Yuyan & Huang, Junling, 2026. "Research on the participation behavior of renewable energy in China's sustainable development price settlement mechanism: An agent-based simulation analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    18. Li, Fangyi & Cao, Xin & Ou, Rui, 2021. "A network-based evolutionary analysis of the diffusion of cleaner energy substitution in enterprises: The roles of PEST factors," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    19. Zhao, Dan & Wang, Jian & Li, Wen-wu & Tang, Jin-huan & Huang, Shuai, 2025. "Consider payoff or emphasize learning? Exploring the effect of new dual-credit policy on electric vehicle diffusion in complex network," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    20. Xinhong Wu & Hao Huang & Bin Guo & Lifei Song & Yongwen Yang & Qifen Li & Fanyue Qian, 2025. "A Study on the Price Transmission Mechanism of Environmental Benefits for Green Electricity in the Carbon Market and Green Certificate Markets: A Case Study of the East China Power Grid," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-19, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:409:y:2026:i:c:s0306261926001443. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.