IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agisys/v131y2014icp77-86.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Location specific climate change scenario and its impact on rice and wheat in Central Indian Punjab

Author

Listed:
  • Jalota, S.K.
  • Vashisht, B.B.
  • Kaur, Harsimran
  • Kaur, Samanpreet
  • Kaur, Prabhjyot

Abstract

A study was conducted to (i) derive future modeled climate data for different locations, (ii) assess the impact of location specific climate change scenario on crop duration, yield, water and nitrogen-balance and-use efficiency of rice–wheat system and (iii) evaluate delaying of trans-/planting date of crops as adaptation measures. Results indicate that in mid century (MC) and end century (EC) time slice of the 21st century, rainfall and temperature would increase; crop yields (simulated with cropping systems simulation model) would decrease owing to shortening of crop duration. In MC (2021–2050) and EC (2071–2098), evapotranspiration, transpiration, drainage and irrigation requirement would decrease and soil water evaporation would increase. However, their magnitudes would vary with the location. The water use efficiency of rice and wheat crops would increase in MC. The agronomic efficiency of applied nitrogen is more in rice than that in wheat during present time slice (1998–2009) and this difference would amplify in MC and EC. Nitrogen recovery efficiency is more in wheat and the difference would reduce in EC. Crop yield and water & nitrogen use efficiency reveal relations with time slice and soil profile characteristics of the location. Delaying trans-/planting of rice by 15days in MC; and of wheat by 15–21days in MC and EC emerged as the best adaptation measures to sustain yield of rice–wheat system at all locations.

Suggested Citation

  • Jalota, S.K. & Vashisht, B.B. & Kaur, Harsimran & Kaur, Samanpreet & Kaur, Prabhjyot, 2014. "Location specific climate change scenario and its impact on rice and wheat in Central Indian Punjab," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 77-86.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:131:y:2014:i:c:p:77-86
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2014.07.009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X14001024
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agsy.2014.07.009?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stockle, Claudio O. & Williams, Jimmy R. & Rosenberg, Norman J. & Jones, C. Allan, 1992. "A method for estimating the direct and climatic effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide on growth and yield of crops: Part I--Modification of the EPIC model for climate change analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 225-238.
    2. Unknown, 1979. "Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Prices, 1978," Statistical Bulletin 154321, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Jalota, S.K. & Singh, K.B. & Chahal, G.B.S. & Gupta, R.K. & Chakraborty, Somsubhra & Sood, Anil & Ray, S.S. & Panigrahy, S., 2009. "Integrated effect of transplanting date, cultivar and irrigation on yield, water saving and water productivity of rice (Oryza sativa L.) in Indian Punjab: Field and simulation study," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(7), pages 1096-1104, July.
    4. Mahajan, G. & Bharaj, T.S. & Timsina, J., 2009. "Yield and water productivity of rice as affected by time of transplanting in Punjab, India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 525-532, March.
    5. Unknown, 1979. "Food Prices in Perspective: A Summary Analysis," Economics Statistics and Cooperative Services (ESCS) Reports 143247, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    6. Chahal, G.B.S. & Sood, Anil & Jalota, S.K. & Choudhury, B.U. & Sharma, P.K., 2007. "Yield, evapotranspiration and water productivity of rice (Oryza sativa L.)-wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) system in Punjab (India) as influenced by transplanting date of rice and weather parameters," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(1-3), pages 14-22, March.
    7. Brar, S.K. & Mahal, S.S. & Brar, A.S. & Vashist, K.K. & Sharma, Neerja & Buttar, G.S., 2012. "Transplanting time and seedling age affect water productivity, rice yield and quality in north-west India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 217-222.
    8. Jalota, S.K. & Kaur, Harsimran & Kaur, Samanpreet & Vashisht, B.B., 2013. "Impact of climate change scenarios on yield, water and nitrogen-balance and -use efficiency of rice–wheat cropping system," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 29-38.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jalota, S.K. & Jain, A.K. & Vashisht, B.B., 2018. "Minimize water deficit in wheat crop to ameliorate groundwater decline in rice-wheat cropping system," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 261-267.
    2. Nouri, Milad & Homaee, Mehdi & Bannayan, Mohammad & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2016. "Towards modeling soil texture-specific sensitivity of wheat yield and water balance to climatic changes," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 248-263.
    3. El Chami, D. & Daccache, A., 2015. "Assessing sustainability of winter wheat production under climate change scenarios in a humid climate — An integrated modelling framework," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 19-25.
    4. Vashisht, B.B. & Jalota, S.K. & Ramteke, P. & Kaur, Ramandeep & Jayeswal, D.K., 2021. "Impact of rice (O. sativa L.) straw incorporation induced changes in soil physical and chemical properties on yield, water and nitrogen–balance and –use efficiency of wheat (T. aestivum L.) in rice–wh," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    5. Sajjad Ali & Li Gucheng & Liu Ying & Muhammad Ishaq & Tariq Shah, 2019. "The Relationship between Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Economic Growth and Agricultural Production in Pakistan: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-23, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jalota, S.K. & Kaur, Harsimran & Kaur, Samanpreet & Vashisht, B.B., 2013. "Impact of climate change scenarios on yield, water and nitrogen-balance and -use efficiency of rice–wheat cropping system," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 29-38.
    2. Jalota, S.K. & Jain, A.K. & Vashisht, B.B., 2018. "Minimize water deficit in wheat crop to ameliorate groundwater decline in rice-wheat cropping system," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 261-267.
    3. Kaur, Diljeet & Singh, Angrej & Sindhu, Vinay Kumar, 2024. "Growth and productivity of direct-seeded basmati rice (Oryza sativa L.) as influenced by sowing dates and irrigation schedules in north-western India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    4. Monaco, Federica & Sali, Guido, 2018. "How water amounts and management options drive Irrigation Water Productivity of rice. A multivariate analysis based on field experiment data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 47-57.
    5. Mohammad Alauddin & Upali A. Amarasinghe & Bharat R. Sharma, 2014. "Four decades of rice water productivity in Bangladesh: A spatio-temporal analysis of district level panel data," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 51-64.
    6. Jalota, S.K. & Singh, K.B. & Chahal, G.B.S. & Gupta, R.K. & Chakraborty, Somsubhra & Sood, Anil & Ray, S.S. & Panigrahy, S., 2009. "Integrated effect of transplanting date, cultivar and irrigation on yield, water saving and water productivity of rice (Oryza sativa L.) in Indian Punjab: Field and simulation study," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(7), pages 1096-1104, July.
    7. Brar, S.K. & Mahal, S.S. & Brar, A.S. & Vashist, K.K. & Sharma, Neerja & Buttar, G.S., 2012. "Transplanting time and seedling age affect water productivity, rice yield and quality in north-west India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 217-222.
    8. Sandhu, S.S. & Mahal, S.S. & Vashist, K.K. & G.S.Buttar, & Brar, A.S. & Singh, Maninder, 2012. "Crop and water productivity of bed transplanted rice as influenced by various levels of nitrogen and irrigation in northwest India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 32-39.
    9. Choudhury, B.U. & Singh, Anil Kumar & Pradhan, S., 2013. "Estimation of crop coefficients of dry-seeded irrigated rice–wheat rotation on raised beds by field water balance method in the Indo-Gangetic plains, India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 20-31.
    10. Cabelguenne, M. & Debaeke, P. & Bouniols, A., 1999. "EPICphase, a version of the EPIC model simulating the effects of water and nitrogen stress on biomass and yield, taking account of developmental stages: validation on maize, sunflower, sorghum, soybea," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 175-196, June.
    11. Mitter, Hermine & Schmid, Erwin, 2021. "Informing groundwater policies in semi-arid agricultural production regions under stochastic climate scenario impacts," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    12. S.X. Zhang & D.D. Huang & X.Y. Yi & S. Zhang & R. Yao & C.G. Li & A. Liang & X.P. Zhang, 2016. "Rice yield corresponding to the seedling growth under supplemental green light in mixed light-emitting diodes," Plant, Soil and Environment, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 62(5), pages 222-229.
    13. Bocchiola, D. & Brunetti, L. & Soncini, A. & Polinelli, F. & Gianinetto, M., 2019. "Impact of climate change on agricultural productivity and food security in the Himalayas: A case study in Nepal," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 113-125.
    14. Wang, Zhiqiang & Ye, Li & Jiang, Jingyi & Fan, Yida & Zhang, Xiaoran, 2022. "Review of application of EPIC crop growth model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 467(C).
    15. Melkonian, J. & Riha, S. J. & Wilks, D. S., 1998. "Simulation of elevated CO2 effects on daily net canopy carbon assimilation and crop yield," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 87-106, September.
    16. Wang, Zhaozhi & Zhang, T.Q. & Tan, C.S. & Taylor, R.A.J. & Wang, X. & Qi, Z.M. & Welacky, T., 2018. "Simulating crop yield, surface runoff, tile drainage and phosphorus loss in a clay loam soil of the Lake Erie region using EPIC," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 212-221.
    17. Sarker, Khokan Kumer & Hossain, Akbar & Timsina, Jagadish & Biswas, Sujit Kumar & Malone, Sparkle L. & Alam, Md. Khairul & Loescher, Henry W. & Bazzaz, Mahfuz, 2020. "Alternate furrow irrigation can maintain grain yield and nutrient content, and increase crop water productivity in dry season maize in sub-tropical climate of South Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    18. Lekarkar, Katoria & Nkwasa, Albert & Villani, Lorenzo & van Griensven, Ann, 2024. "Localizing agricultural impacts of 21st century climate pathways in data scarce catchments: A case study of the Nyando catchment, Kenya," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    19. Sinha, Indu & Buttar, G.S. & Brar, A.S., 2017. "Drip irrigation and fertigation improve economics, water and energy productivity of spring sunflower (Helianthus annuus L.) in Indian Punjab," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 58-64.
    20. Wang, Zhaozhi & Zhang, T.Q. & Tan, C.S. & Xue, Lulin & Bukovsky, Melissa & Qi, Z.M., 2021. "Modeling impacts of climate change on crop yield and phosphorus loss in a subsurface drained field of Lake Erie region, Canada," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:131:y:2014:i:c:p:77-86. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agsy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.