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The effects of oil royalties on regional inequality in Brazil

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  • Santos, Rafaela Nascimento
  • Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos de Santana
  • Santana, José Ricardo de

Abstract

This article evaluates the impact of oil royalties on Brazil’s production structure and their effects on regional inequality. An interregional input-output model was used, encompassing the 27 Brazilian states and 26 sectors, with base year 2008. The simulation strategy assumed 75% of these funds are channelled into education and 25% into the health sector, as mandated by Law 12.858/2013. To measure the effect of royalties on regional inequality, the Gini coefficient was calculated both ex-ante and ex-post with respect to the impact analysis. The main findings indicate that interregional and intersectoral spillovers are weak; but, in the Southeast and Northeast regions, the investment of royalties in education and health could help reduce intraregional inequality.

Suggested Citation

  • Santos, Rafaela Nascimento & Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos de Santana & Santana, José Ricardo de, 2022. "The effects of oil royalties on regional inequality in Brazil," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col070:48047
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    1. Guilhoto, J. J. M. & Sesso Filho, U. A., 2005. "Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a Partir De Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais [Estimation of input-output matrix using preliminary data from national accounts]," MPRA Paper 38212, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Lauro Carnicelli & Fernando Antonio Slaibe Postali, 2014. "Royalties Do Petróleo E Emprego Públiconos Municípios Brasileiros," Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 234, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    3. Celso Bissoli Sessa & Thiago Cavalcante Simonato & Edson Paulo Domingues, 2017. "O ciclo das commodities e crescimento regional desigual no Brasil: uma aplicação de equilíbrio geral computável (EGC)," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 551, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    4. James Feyrer & Erin T. Mansur & Bruce Sacerdote, 2017. "Geographic Dispersion of Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Fracking Revolution," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(4), pages 1313-1334, April.
    5. Hunt Allcott & Daniel Keniston, 2018. "Dutch Disease or Agglomeration? The Local Economic Effects of Natural Resource Booms in Modern America," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 695-731.
    6. Postali, Fernando Antonio Slaibe, 2009. "Petroleum royalties and regional development in Brazil: The economic growth of recipient towns," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 205-213, December.
    7. Jiménez, Juan Pablo & Tromben, Varinia, 2006. "Política fiscal y bonanza: impacto del aumento de los precios de los productos no renovables en América Latina y el Caribe," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
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