IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-22-00529.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Average inflation targeting and economic volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Joshua Dennis Hall

    (Florida Southern College)

  • Peter V. Bias

    (Florida Southern College)

Abstract

The Federal Reserve announced that the interest rate targeting objective is to maintain an average inflation target (AIT) rate over time rather than an inflation target. What is the economic impact of moving from a constant inflation rate target to targeting an average inflation rate? A standard dynamic aggregate demand - aggregate supply (DAD-DAS) model is applied to run the simulations. Monetary policies are modeled by a DAD-DAS model using a monetary rate of growth targeting rule, and a classic Taylor rule in a baseline New Keynesian model. To model the AIT approach, a five-period moving average of inflation rate target (MAIT) is maintained as a short-run target, whereas, within the standard approach, a constant inflation target is maintained in the short- and long-run. As a robustness check, a canonical New Keynesian model is also used. Applying both supply and demand shocks to the simulation models, it is found that the MAIT approach increases economic volatility in both inflation and economic growth compared to the more standard objective constant inflation rate targeting.

Suggested Citation

  • Joshua Dennis Hall & Peter V. Bias, 2022. "Average inflation targeting and economic volatility," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(4), pages 2161-2170.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-22-00529
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2022/Volume42/EB-22-V42-I4-P178.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Average Inflation Targeting; Monetary Policy; New Keynesian Model; Dynamic Aggregate Demand - Aggregate Supply Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-22-00529. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.