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Brexit: a vote driven by deprivation?

Author

Listed:
  • Gulcin Ozkan

    (King's College London)

  • Grace Stamate

    (University of York)

Abstract

Why did the British electorate vote to leave the European Union? Using an extensive data set on deprivation at the local authority level, we explore the factors that shaped the leave decision. We find that the sharp rise in deprivation during 2010-15 was closely associated with an increased likelihood of the leave vote, lending support to the arguments that austerity from 2010 onwards played a key role in the Brexit decision. Our results also reveal that deterioration in educational opportunities; rise in crime; and barriers to housing had been particularly influential in the leave vote.

Suggested Citation

  • Gulcin Ozkan & Grace Stamate, 2020. "Brexit: a vote driven by deprivation?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 3010-3019.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-18-00764
    as

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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2020/Volume40/EB-20-V40-I4-P262.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sascha O Becker & Thiemo Fetzer & Dennis Novy, 2017. "Who voted for Brexit? A comprehensive district-level analysis," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 32(92), pages 601-650.
    2. Italo Colantone & Piero Stanig, 2016. "Global Competition and Brexit," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1644, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    3. Sascha Becker & Thiemo Fetzer & Dennis Novy, 2017. "Who Voted for Brexit?," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(04), pages 03-05, December.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • I3 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty

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