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The European Union and its new neighbors: an estimation of migration potentials

  • Nicolas Péridy

    ()

    (University of Nantes (France))

This paper provides a first quantitative assessment of the migration potential involving the enlarged EU and its new neighbors. Based on new theoretical developments in migration theories, it develops an empirical model which highlights the main migration determinants in the EU. As a next step, the model is estimated with the Hausman and Taylor as well as the GMM panel data estimators. The observed/fitted migration ratios are subsequently calculated from an out-sample technique. Results show that there is still a significant migration potential from Maghreb countries towards Southern European countries. A second significant potential concerns the new Eastern neighbors with regard to Germany and Eastern EU countries.

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File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2006/Volume6/EB-05F20010A.pdf
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Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 6 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 1-11

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Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-05f20010
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  1. George J. Borjas, 1987. "Self-Selection and the Earnings of Immigrants," NBER Working Papers 2248, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Pedersen, Peder J. & Pytlikova, Mariola & Smith, Nina, 2004. "Selection or Network Effects? Migration Flows into 27 OECD Countries, 1990-2000," IZA Discussion Papers 1104, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  3. Timothy Hatton & Jeffery Williamson, 2002. "What Fundamentals Drive World Migration?," CEPR Discussion Papers 458, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
  4. Borjas, George J, 1999. "Immigration and Welfare Magnets," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 17(4), pages 607-37, October.
  5. Gary L. Hunt & Richard E. Mueller, 2004. "North American Migration: Returns to Skill, Border Effects, and Mobility Costs," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(4), pages 988-1007, November.
  6. Ximena Clark & Timothy J. Hatton & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 2002. "Where Do U.S. Immigrants Come From, and Why?," NBER Working Papers 8998, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Peter Egger, . "On the Problem of Endogenous Unobserved Effects in the Estimation of Gravity Models," WIFO Working Papers 132, WIFO.
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