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Der Einfluss der Alters- und Familienstrukturen auf die Ausgaben der Länder und Gemeinden

Listed author(s):
  • Britta Baum
  • Helmut Seitz
  • Andrej Worobjew
Registered author(s):

    Das Papier untersucht die Effekte des demographischen Wandels auf die öffentlichen Ausgaben, wobei ein besonderer Blick auf die föderalen Zusammenhänge gerichtet wird. Unter Verwendung von Paneldaten über die Pro-Kopf-Ausgaben der westdeutschen Bundesländer in 15 Aufgabenbereichen wird untersucht, ob von demographischen Einflussvariablen nachweisliche Effekte auf die Ausgaben ausgehen. Ökonometrische Tests zeigen einen signifikanten Einfluss der Altersstrukturen in nahezu allen Aufgabenbereichen, wogegen die Familienstruktur nur in einigen Aufgabenbereichen Einfluss zu haben scheint. Zusätzlich werden Prognosen berechnet, die Auskunft darüber geben, wie sich der in der Zukunft absehbare demographische Wandel auf die Pro-Kopf-Ausgaben der Länder und Gemeinden auswirkt. Hierbei zeigen sich durchaus quantitativ bedeutsame Effekte, die zwischen der Länder- und Gemeindeebene teilweise deutlich differieren.

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    Article provided by DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research in its journal Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung.

    Volume (Year): 71 (2002)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 147-162

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    Handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:71-10-11
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    1. Aronsson, Thomas & Lundberg, Johan & Wikstrom, Magnus, 2000. "The impact of regional public expenditures on the local decision to spend," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 185-202, March.
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    3. Jonathan Gruber & David Wise, 2001. "An International Perspective on Policies for an Aging Society," NBER Working Papers 8103, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Rosenschon, Astrid, 2001. "Familienförderung in Deutschland - eine Bestandsaufnahme," Kiel Working Papers 1071, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    5. David K. Foot, 1984. "The Demographic Future of Fiscal Federalism in Canada," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 10(4), pages 406-414, December.
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    7. Echevarria, Cruz A, 1995. "On Age Distribution of Population, Government Expenditure and Fiscal Federalism," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 8(3), pages 301-313, August.
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