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Welche Bedeutung hat eine alternde Bevölkerung für das österreichische Steueraufkommen?

  • Ralf Kronberger
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    Der langfristige Verlauf des Steueraufkommens wird an Hand der demografischen Entwicklung bis 2050 geschätzt. Produktivitätsveränderungen, Verschiebungen in der Erwerbsquote, Veränderungen in der Nettoersatzrate, im Konsum- und Sparverhalten sind auf Grund der demografischen Entwicklung sehr wahrscheinlich. All diese Faktoren dürften einen beträchtlichen Einfluss auf die Entwicklung des Steueraufkommens haben. Mittels der Schätzung unterschiedlicher demografischer Szenarien ­ vereinzelte beeinflussende Faktoren werden variiert, die Abgabenstruktur bleibt konstant ­ werden wahrscheinliche Veränderungen im Steueraufkommen analysiert sowie daraus abzuleitende notwendige Politikmaßnahmen diskutiert.

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    Article provided by Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna in its journal Vienna Yearbook of Population Research.

    Volume (Year): 3 (2005)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 197-218

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    Handle: RePEc:vid:yearbk:v:3:y:2005:i:1:p:197-218
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    1. Thai-Thanh Dang & Pablo Antolín & Howard Oxley, 2001. "Fiscal Implications of Ageing: Projections of Age-Related Spending," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 305, OECD Publishing.
    2. Steven F. Venti & David A. Wise, 2001. "Aging and Housing Equity: Another Look," NBER Working Papers 8608, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 1999. "Population Aging and Its Economic Costs: A Survey of the Issues and Evidence," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers 1, McMaster University.
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    5. Gert G. Wagner & Ellen Kirner & Johannes Leinert & Volker Meinhardt, 1998. "Kapitaldeckung: Kein Wundermittel für die Altersvorsorge," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 65(46), pages 833-840.
    6. Jonathan Gruber & David Wise, 2001. "An International Perspective on Policies for an Aging Society," NBER Working Papers 8103, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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