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Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik: Konsequenzen für die Konjunkturanalyse

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

    ()

Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP), der wichtigste Indikator für Konjunktur und Wirtschaftswachstum, wurde bisher in den deutschen Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen (VGR) in konstanten Preisen eines Basisjahres nachgewiesen (Festpreisbasis). Auf der Grundlage der Entscheidung der EU-Kommission vom 30. November 1998 wird bei der nächsten anstehenden großen VGR-Revision in diesem Frühjahr bei der BIP-Schätzung nun das Konzept der Vorjahrespreisbasis eingeführt. Dieser Beitrag informiert über das neue Rechenverfahren, den Grund des Systemwechsels und über einige Konsequenzen der neuen Volumenrechnung für die Konjunkturanalyse.

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File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Schnelldienst/zs-sd-2005/ifosd_2005_5_3.pdf
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Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 58 (2005)
Issue (Month): 05 (03)
Pages: 19-27

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:58:y:2005:i:05:p:19-27
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  1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik: Besonderheiten der Quartalsrechnung," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(15), pages 14-21, 08.
  2. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2001. "Wirtschaftswachstum in den Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen: Ein Vergleich Deutschland - USA," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(03), pages 41-51, 03.
  3. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2003. "Methoden der Konjunkturprognose," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(04), pages 7-23, 02.
  4. Karl Whelan, 2000. "A guide to the use of chain aggregated NIPA data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2000-35, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  5. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Wirtschaftswachstum in den VGR: Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(05), pages 28-34, 03.
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