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Vorjahrespreisbasis: Rechenregeln für die Aggregation

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

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Abstract

Das Statistische Bundesamt hat in diesem Frühjahr die Berechnung des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts von der Festpreisbasis auf die Vorjahrespreisbasis umgestellt. Ein zentrales Problem der neuen Volumenrechnung ist die Nicht-Additivität der Ergebnisse, d.h. die Summe verketteter Teilaggregate weicht in aller Regel vom Wert des verketteten Gesamtaggregats ab. Für die Aggregation (bzw. Disaggregation) von Volumina müssen deshalb neue Wege beschritten werden. Der vorliegende Beitrag zeigt verschiedene Lösungsmöglichkeiten auf.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Vorjahrespreisbasis: Rechenregeln für die Aggregation," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(22), pages 12-16, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:58:y:2005:i:22:p:12-16
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik: Besonderheiten der Quartalsrechnung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(15), pages 14-21, August.
    2. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik: Konsequenzen für die Konjunkturanalyse," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(05), pages 19-27, March.
    3. Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2005. "Umstellung der deutschen VGR auf Vorjahrespreisbasis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,31, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Vorjahrespreisbasis und Chain-Linking in den VGR: Das Wichtigste der neuen Volumenrechnung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 29-35, August.
    5. repec:ces:ifosdt:v::y:2004:i::p:14-21 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Wirtschaftswachstum in den VGR: Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(05), pages 28-34, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Flor, 2014. "Post Reunification Economic Fluctuations in Germany: A Real Business Cycle Interpretation," Working Papers 146, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    2. Flor Michael, 2014. "Post reunification economic fluctuations in Germany: a real business cycle interpretation," Review of Business and Economics Studies, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное образовательное бюджетное учреждение высшего профессионального образования «Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации» (Финансовый университет), issue 4, pages 5-17.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2008. "Preisbereinigtes Bruttoinlandsprodukt: Zur Veröffentlichungspraxis im Gemeinschaftsgutachten," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(09), pages 15-18, May.
    4. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "Vorjahrespreisbasis : Aggregation und Verkettungsdifferenz," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(06), pages 29-33, March.
    5. Quaas, Georg, 2009. "Realgrößen und Preisindizes im alten und im neuen VGR-System
      [Macro-economic aggregates in real terms and price indices in the old and the new system of national accounts]
      ," MPRA Paper 22316, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Apr 2010.
    6. Quaas, Georg, 2009. "Die Umsetzung der Annual-Overlap-Methode in ökonometrischen Modellen – eine Analyse der programmtechnischen Möglichkeiten von E-Views
      [The implementation of the annual-overlap method in econometric
      ," MPRA Paper 19435, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Vorhersage der Revisionen der Vorratsveränderungen mit Hilfe der ifo Lagerbeurteilung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(07), pages 26-32, April.
    8. Isabel Hanisch & Elisabeth Wieland & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2015. "Entwicklung der deutschen Investitionstätigkeit im europäischen Vergleich: Die Rolle von Preis- und Mengeneffekten," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(16), pages 39-50, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Aggregation; Sozialproduktskonzept; Volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung;

    JEL classification:

    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General

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