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Monetary Policy Under Commodity Price Fluctuations

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  • Roberto Chang

Abstract

This paper discusses monetary policy in a New Keynesian open economy subject to commodity price fluctuations. We review theoretical results that imply that stabilizing the producer price index (PPI) is optimal only under special circumstances. In a calibrated version of the model, PPI targeting is compared against a policy that stabilizes a forecast of the consumer price index. The results depend on model specifics, especially elasticities of substitution and the structure of international asset markets.

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  • Roberto Chang, 2015. "Monetary Policy Under Commodity Price Fluctuations," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 282-296, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:19:y:2015:i:2:p:282-296
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/rode.12142
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    1. Jordi Galí & Tommaso Monacelli, 2005. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 72(3), pages 707-734.
    2. Bodenstein, Martin & Erceg, Christopher J. & Guerrieri, Luca, 2008. "Optimal monetary policy with distinct core and headline inflation rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 18-33, October.
    3. Ester Faia & Tommaso Monacelli, 2008. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy with Home Bias," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 721-750, June.
    4. Sutherland, Alan, 2005. "Incomplete pass-through and the welfare effects of exchange rate variability," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 375-399, March.
    5. Luis Catão & Roberto Chang, 2013. "Monetary Rules for Commodity Traders," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 61(1), pages 52-91, April.
    6. De Paoli, Bianca, 2009. "Monetary policy and welfare in a small open economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 11-22, February.
    7. Jens Sondergaard & Pietro Cova, 2004. "When Should Monetary Policy Target The Exchange Rate?," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2004 51, Royal Economic Society.
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