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Sovereign Reputation and Yield Spreads: A Case Study on Retroactive Legislation

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  • Otto Randl
  • Josef Zechner

Abstract

This paper uses recent legislation in Austria to establish a link between sovereign reputation and yield spreads. In 2009, Hypo Alpe Adria International, a bank previously co‐owned by the regional government of Carinthia, had been nationalized by Austria's central government in order to avoid a default triggering multi‐billion Euro local government guarantees. In 2015, special legislation retroactively introduced collective action clauses allowing a haircut on both the bonds and the guarantees while avoiding formal default. We document that legislative and administrative action designed to partly abrogate the guarantees resulted in a loss of reputation, leading to higher yield spreads for sovereign debt. Our analysis of covered bonds uncovers an increase in yield spreads on the secondary market and a deterioration of primary market conditions.

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  • Otto Randl & Josef Zechner, 2018. "Sovereign Reputation and Yield Spreads: A Case Study on Retroactive Legislation," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 19(3), pages 260-279, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:germec:v:19:y:2018:i:3:p:260-279
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    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/geer.12128
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