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Demographic Change in the Asian Century: Implications for Australia and the Region

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  • Peter McDonald

Abstract

Declining fertility and mortality rates in the second half of the twentieth century have led to the twenty-first century being characterised as the century of the aging population. Concurrently, the decline in the numbers of young people entering the labour force is exacerbating the problems arising from the aging population. Implications of these trends are analysed for a variety of Asian countries. Labour force growth in India and Pakistan will be sufficient to compensate for the shrinking labour forces in Europe and Asia excluding the massive fall in China; outsourcing labour to South Asia will be an increasing trend in the twenty-first century. The Asian countries with less problematic demographic structures are instead facing economic challenges and require education and training to improve labour productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter McDonald, 2016. "Demographic Change in the Asian Century: Implications for Australia and the Region," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(2), pages 155-172, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:asiaps:v:3:y:2016:i:2:p:155-172
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bloom, David E & Williamson, Jeffrey G, 1998. "Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 12(3), pages 419-455, September.
    2. Peter McDonald & Mohammad Jalal Abbasi Shavazi & Meimanat Hosseini-Chavoshi & Arash Rashidian, 2015. "An assessment of recent Iranian fertility trends using parity progression ratios," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 32(58), pages 1581-1602.
    3. Fang Cai & John Giles & Philip O'Keefe & Dewen Wang, 2012. "The Elderly and Old Age Support in Rural China : Challenges and Prospects," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2249, April.
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