IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bis/bisqtr/2412b.html

Large language models: a primer for economists

Author

Listed:
  • Byeungchun Kwon
  • Taejin Park
  • Fernando Perez-Cruz
  • Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) are powerful tools for analysing textual data, with substantial untapped potential in economic and central banking applications. Vast archives of text, including policy statements, financial reports and news, offer rich opportunities for analysis. This special feature provides an accessible introduction to LLMs aimed at economists and offers applied researchers a practical walkthrough of their use. We provide a step-by-step guide on the use of LLMs covering data organisation, signal extraction, quantitative analysis and output evaluation. As an illustration, we apply the framework to analyse perceived drivers of stock market dynamics based on over 60,000 news articles between 2021 and 2023. While macroeconomic and monetary policy news are important, market sentiment also exerts substantial influence.

Suggested Citation

  • Byeungchun Kwon & Taejin Park & Fernando Perez-Cruz & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2024. "Large language models: a primer for economists," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisqtr:2412b
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2412b.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2412b.htm
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anton Korinek, 2023. "Generative AI for Economic Research: Use Cases and Implications for Economists," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1281-1317, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Aijie Shu & Wenbin Wu & Gbenga Ibikunle & Fengxiang He, 2026. "DeXposure-FM: A Time-series, Graph Foundation Model for Credit Exposures and Stability on Decentralized Financial Networks," Papers 2602.03981, arXiv.org.
    2. Douglas Araujo & Rafael Schmidt & Olivier Sirello & Bruno Tissot & Ricardo Villarreal, 2025. "Governance and implementation of artificial intelligence in central banks," IFC Reports 18, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Camille Jehle & Florian Le Gallo, 2025. "Europe in the Headlines: What Two Decades of French News Reveal about EU Sentiment," Working papers 1008, Banque de France.
    4. SEKINE, Toshitaka & WADA, Tetsuro, 2025. "How Did People Tweet against Inflation in Japan?," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-150, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    5. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2025. "Ordinary Least Squares as an Attention Mechanism," Papers 2504.09663, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
    6. George Fatouros & Kostas Metaxas & John Soldatos & Manos Karathanassis, 2025. "MarketSenseAI 2.0: Enhancing Stock Analysis through LLM Agents," Papers 2502.00415, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Feyzollahi, Maryam & Rafizadeh, Nima, 2025. "The adoption of Large Language Models in economics research," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    2. Beatrice Ferrario & Stefanie Stantcheva, 2025. "How Americans Think About Health Care and Insurance," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 40, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Aldasoro, I. & Gambacorta, L. & Korinek, A. & Shreeti, V. & Stein, M., 2025. "Intelligent financial system: How AI is transforming finance," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Leland D. Crane & Akhil Karra & Paul E. Soto, 2025. "Total Recall? Evaluating the Macroeconomic Knowledge of Large Language Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Iñaki Aldasoro & Ajit Desai, 2025. "Money Talks: AI Agents for Cash Management in Payment Systems," Staff Working Papers 25-35, Bank of Canada.
    6. Andersen, Jens Peter & Degn, Lise & Fishberg, Rachel & Graversen, Ebbe K. & Horbach, Serge P.J.M. & Schmidt, Evanthia Kalpazidou & Schneider, Jesper W. & Sørensen, Mads P., 2025. "Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) in the research process – A survey of researchers’ practices and perceptions," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Shumiao Ouyang & Hayong Yun & Xingjian Zheng, 2024. "AI as Decision-Maker: Ethics and Risk Preferences of LLMs," Papers 2406.01168, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2025.
    8. Francesco Venturini, 2025. "Generative AI and Income Growth: Early Evidence on Global Data," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 31-46.
    9. Cristina Angelico & Enrico Bernardini, 2026. "Can GenAI fill banks' emissions data gaps?," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 1003, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann & Nima Ostovan, 2024. "AI in economic research: A guide for students and instructors," IRENE Policy Reports 24-03, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    11. Buchanan, Joy & Hickman, William, 2024. "Do people trust humans more than ChatGPT?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    12. Dragan Filimonovic & Christian Rutzer & Conny Wunsch, 2025. "Can GenAI Improve Academic Performance? Evidence from the Social and Behavioral Sciences," Papers 2510.02408, arXiv.org.
    13. Zareh Asatryan & Carlo Birkholz & Friedrich Heinemann, 2025. "Evidence-based policy or beauty contest? An LLM-based meta-analysis of EU cohesion policy evaluations," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 32(2), pages 625-655, April.
    14. Fetzer, Thiemo & Lambert, Peter John & Feld, Bennet & Garg, Prashant, 2024. "AI-Generated Production Networks : Measurement and Applications to Global Trade," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1528, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    15. Dong, Mengming Michael & Stratopoulos, Theophanis C. & Wang, Victor Xiaoqi, 2024. "A scoping review of ChatGPT research in accounting and finance," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    16. Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Stefanie Stantcheva & Johannes Wohlfart, 2025. "Understanding Economic Behavior Using Open-Ended Survey Data," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 63(4), pages 1244-1280, December.
    17. Laurent Ferrara & Nicolas de Roux, 2025. "Capturing international influences in U.S. monetary policy through a NLP approach," Working Papers hal-05072535, HAL.
    18. Alexander Eliseev & Sergei Seleznev, 2026. "Fake Date Tests: Can We Trust In-sample Accuracy of LLMs in Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2601.07992, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    19. Iñaki Aldasoro & Ajit Desai, 2025. "AI agents for cash management in payment systems," BIS Working Papers 1310, Bank for International Settlements.
    20. Nizamani, Mir Muhammad & Zhang, Hai-Li & Lai, Zhongping, 2026. "Human-centered AI: advancing ethical, transparent, and context-aware systems for sustainable development," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bis:bisqtr:2412b. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Martin Fessler (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bisssch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.