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Macroeconomic Determinants of Youth Unemployment: A Comparative Analysis of Poland and Türkiye

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  • Mehmet Bölükbaş
  • Eugeniusz Kwiatkowski

Abstract

The paper analyzes the impact of economic growth, inflation, and temporary employment on youth unemployment in Poland and Türkiye in 2000–2023. The main aim is to determine the short- and long-term impact of the GDP growth rate, the inflation rate, and the proportion of temporary employment on the youth unemployment rate. An econometric analysis was conducted on 2007–2020 data using the ARDL Bounds Test method. It found that while economic growth reduces youth unemployment in both countries, a rise in inflation appears to increase it. It further found that an increase in temporary employment increases youth unemployment in Poland, but that this is not significant in Türkiye.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Bölükbaş & Eugeniusz Kwiatkowski, 2025. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Youth Unemployment: A Comparative Analysis of Poland and Türkiye," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 3, pages 379-403.
    • Handle: RePEc:aoq:ekonom:y:2025:i:3:p:379-403
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eugeniusz Kwiatkowski, 2016. "Controversies On The Economic Effects Of Fixed – Term Employment – Evidence From The Oecd Countries," OLSZTYN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 11(3), pages 195-210, August.
    2. Riza Bayrak, Halim Tatli, 2018. "The Determinants of Youth Unemployment: A Panel Data Analysis of OECD Countries," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 15(2), pages 231-248, December.
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    6. Victor Aguirregabiria & Cesar Alonso-Borrego, 2014. "Labor Contracts And Flexibility: Evidence From A Labor Market Reform In Spain," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 930-957, April.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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