IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/sojoae/30093.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Incorporating Government Program Provisions Into A Mean-Variance Framework

Author

Listed:
  • Perry, Gregory M.
  • Rister, M. Edward
  • Richardson, James W.
  • Bessler, David A.

Abstract

E-V studies traditionally have relied on historical data to calculate returns and variance. Historical data may not fully reflect current conditions, particularly when decisions involve government-supported crops. This paper presents a method for calculating mean and variance using subjectively-estimated data. The method is developed for both government-supported and non-program crops. Comparisons to alternative methods suggest the approach provides reasonable accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Perry, Gregory M. & Rister, M. Edward & Richardson, James W. & Bessler, David A., 1989. "Incorporating Government Program Provisions Into A Mean-Variance Framework," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 21(2), pages 1-11, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:30093
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.30093
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/30093/files/21020095.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.30093?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Oscar R. Burt & Robert M. Finley, 1968. "Statistical Analysis of Identities in Random Variables," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 50(3), pages 734-744.
    2. Wesley N. Musser & Kostas G. Stamoulis, 1981. "Evaluating the Food and Agriculture Act of 1977 with Firm Quadratic Risk Programming," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 63(3), pages 447-456.
    3. Anderson, Jock R. & Dillon, John L. & Hardaker, Brian, 1977. "Agricultural Decision Analysis," Monographs: Applied Economics, AgEcon Search, number 288652, July.
    4. Poirier, Dale J, 1988. "Frequentist and Subjectivist Perspectives on the Problems of Model Building in Economics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 2(1), pages 121-144, Winter.
    5. Anderson, Jock R. & Feder, Gershon, 2007. "Agricultural Extension," Handbook of Agricultural Economics, in: Robert Evenson & Prabhu Pingali (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 44, pages 2343-2378, Elsevier.
    6. Persaud, Tillak & Mapp, Harry P., 1980. "Analysis Of Alternative Production And Marketing Strategies In Southwestern Oklahoma: A Motad Approach," Risk Analysis in Agriculture: Research and Educational Developments, January 16-18, 1980, Tucson, Arizona 271566, Regional Research Projects > W-149: An Economic Evaluation of Managing Market Risks in Agriculture.
    7. Tew, Bernard V. & Boggess, William G., 1984. "Risk-Return Assessment of Irrigation Decisions in Humid Regions: An Extension," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 159-160, December.
    8. William Lin & G. W. Dean & C. V. Moore, 1974. "An Empirical Test of Utility vs. Profit Maximization in Agricultural Production," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 56(3), pages 497-508.
    9. Meyer, Jack, 1987. "Two-moment Decision Models and Expected Utility Maximization," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(3), pages 421-430, June.
    10. John T. Scott & Chester B. Baker, 1972. "A Practical Way to Select an Optimum Farm Plan Under Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 54(4_Part_1), pages 657-660.
    11. Glaser, Lewrene K., 1986. "Provisions of the Food Security Act of 1985," Agricultural Information Bulletins 309344, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    12. Tew, Bernard V. & Boggess, William G., 1984. "Risk-Return Assessment Of Irrigation Decisions In Humid Regions: An Extension," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(2), pages 1-2, December.
    13. John G. Stovall, 1966. "Income Variation and Selection of Enterprises," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1575-1579.
    14. Hadar, Josef & Russell, William R, 1969. "Rules for Ordering Uncertain Prospects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 59(1), pages 25-34, March.
    15. Porter, R Burr & Gaumnitz, Jabk E, 1972. "Stochastic Dominance vs. Mean-Variance Portfolio Analysis: An Empirical Evaluation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(3), pages 438-446, June.
    16. Boggess, W. G. & Lynne, G. D. & Jones, J. W. & Swaney, D. P., 1983. "Risk-Return Assessment of Irrigation Decisions in Humid Regions," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(1), pages 135-143, July.
    17. Boggess, William G. & Lynne, Gary D. & Jones, James W. & Swaney, D.P., 1983. "Risk-Return Assessment Of Irrigation Decisions In Humid Regions," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. El Benni, Nadja & Finger, Robert, 2014. "Where is the risk? Price, yield and cost risk in Swiss crop production," Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement, Editions NecPlus, vol. 95(03), pages 299-326, September.
    2. Chien, Ming-Che & Leatham, David J., 1994. "The Value Of Planting Flexibility Provisions In The 1990 Farm Bill To Three Representative Texas Farms," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-10, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tew, Bernard V. & Musser, Wesley N. & Smith, G. Scott, 1988. "Using Non-Contemporaneous Data To Specify Risk Programming Models," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 17(1), pages 1-6, April.
    2. Tew, Bernard V. & Boggess, William G., 1984. "Risk-Return Assessment Of Irrigation Decisions In Humid Regions: An Extension," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(2), pages 1-2, December.
    3. Musser, Wesley N. & Tew, Bernard V., 1984. "Use Of Biophysical Simulation In Production Economics," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 1-10, July.
    4. Lynne, Gary D. & Boggess, William G. & Portier, Kenneth M., 1984. "Irrigation Water Supply As A Bioeconomic Process," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(2), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Boggess, William G., 1984. "Risk Aspects of Irrigation Decisions," Regional Research Projects >1984: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 25-28, 1984, New Orleans, Louisiana 307237, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    6. Peterson, Jeffrey M. & Boisvert, Richard N., 1998. "Optimal Voluntary "Green" Payment Programs To Limit Nitrate Contamination Under Price and Yield Risk," Research Bulletins 122687, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    7. Eidman, V., 1989. "Quantifying and managing risk in agriculture," 1989 Annual Conference, September 25-27, Bloemfontein, South Africa 314723, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA).
    8. Zentner, Robert P. & Greene, Duty D. & Hickenbotham, Terry L. & Eidman, Vernon R., 1981. "Ordinary And Generalized Stochastic Dominance: A Primer," Staff Papers 14184, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    9. Mims, Anne M. & Duffy, Patricia A. & Young, George J., 1989. "Effects Of Alternative Acreage Restriction Provisions On Alabama Cotton Farms," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 21(2), pages 1-10, December.
    10. Falatoonzadeh, Hamid & Conner, J. Richard & Pope, Rulon D., 1985. "Risk Management Strategies To Reduce Net Income Variability For Farmers," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(1), pages 1-14, July.
    11. Dillon, Carl R., 1992. "Microeconomic Effects Of Reduced Yield Variability Cultivars Of Soybeans And Wheat," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 1-13, July.
    12. Gempesaw, Conrado M., II & Tambe, A.M. & Nayga, Rodolfo M., Jr. & Toensmeyer, Ulrich C., 1988. "The Single Index Market Model In Agriculture," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 1-9, October.
    13. Perry, Gregory M. & Rister, M. Edward & Richardson, James W. & Grant, Warren R., 1986. "Analyzing Tenure Arrangements and Crop Rotations Using Farm Simulation and Probit Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(2), pages 165-174, December.
    14. Boggess, William G. & Anaman, Kwabena A. & Hanson, Gregory D., 1985. "Importance, Causes, And Management Responses To Farm Risks: Evidence From Florida And Alabama," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 1-12, December.
    15. John C. Quiggin & Jock R. Anderson, 1979. "Stabilisation And Risk Reduction In Australian Agriculture," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 23(3), pages 191-206, December.
    16. Coffey, Brian K. & Skees, Jerry R. & Dillon, Carl R. & Anderson, John D., 2001. "Potential Effects Of Subsidized Livestock Insurance On Livestock Production," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20606, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    17. Zylstra, Michael J. & Kilmer, Richard L. & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2003. "Risk Balancing Strategies In The Florida Dairy Industry: An Application Of Conditional Value At Risk," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22021, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    18. Musser, Wesley N., 1994. "Progress In Risk Analysis In Regional Projects," 1994 Quantifying Long Run Agricultural Risks and Evaluating Farmer Responses Risk, Technical Committee Meeting, March 24-26, 1994, Gulf Shores State Park, Alabama 271553, Regional Research Projects > S-232: Quantifying Long Run Agricultural Risks and Evaluating Farmer Responses to Risk.
    19. Schumann, Keith D. & Richardson, James W. & Lien, Gudbrand D. & Hardaker, J. Brian, 2004. "Stochastic Efficiency Analysis Using Multiple Utility Functions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 19957, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    20. Musser, Wesley N. & Tew, Bernard V. & Epperson, James E., 1981. "An Economic Examination Of An Integrated Pest Management Production System With A Contrast Between E-V And Stochastic Dominance Analysis," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(1), pages 1-6, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:30093. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/saeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.