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Optimal Use Of Qualitative Models: An Application To Country Grain Elevator Bankruptcies

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  • Kaylen, Michael S.
  • Devino, Gary T.
  • Procter, Michael H.

Abstract

Qualitative models can be used for decision making under uncertainty. This provides a useful framework for evaluating the models. If the costs for every action/state of nature combination are known, decisions made using a well-calibrated model would result in actual costs being close to expected costs. In addition, the actual cost can be compared to the cost of perfect foresight actions, giving a bound on the value of a better model. Application of these procedures is made using a logit model developed to predict Missouri country grain elevator bankruptcy.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaylen, Michael S. & Devino, Gary T. & Procter, Michael H., 1988. "Optimal Use Of Qualitative Models: An Application To Country Grain Elevator Bankruptcies," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 1-7, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:29262
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.29262
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Feather, Peter M. & Kaylen, Michael S., "undated". "Qualitative Composite Forecasting," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 269941, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
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