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Causality Between Captive Supplies and Cash Market Prices in the U.S. Cattle Procurement Market

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  • Ji, In Bae
  • Chung, Chanjin

Abstract

This study tests the causal direction between captive supply and cash market price in the U.S. cattle procurement market. Finding the correct causality should provide useful information to the decades-long debate on packers’ anti-competitive behavior in the U.S. cattle procurement market. It should also help researchers find better econometric specifications for the cash price-captive supply relationship. Two causality tests—-the Granger test and the Modified Wald test—-were conducted. Overall test results indicate that captive supply causes cash market price, and it favors the price-dependent model.

Suggested Citation

  • Ji, In Bae & Chung, Chanjin, 2012. "Causality Between Captive Supplies and Cash Market Prices in the U.S. Cattle Procurement Market," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 41(3), December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:arerjl:142114
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/142114
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. John R. Schroeter & Azzeddine Azzam, 2004. "Captive supplies and cash market prices for fed cattle: The role of delivery timing incentives," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 347-362.
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    6. Konya, Laszlo, 2004. "Unit-Root, Cointegration and Granger Causality Test Results for Export and Growth in OECD Countries," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 1(2), pages 67-94.
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    8. Hayenga, Marvin L. & Koontz, Stephen R. & Schroeder, Ted C., 1996. "Definition of Regional Cattle Procurement Markets," Staff General Research Papers Archive 10562, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    9. Schroeter, John R., 2007. "Captive Supplies and Cash Market Prices for Fed Cattle: A Dynamic Rational Expectations Model of Delivery Timing," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12710, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
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