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Models for evaluating financial crisis – what went wrong for developed and emerging economies?

Listed author(s):
  • Smaranda CIMPOERU

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Romania)

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    Financial crisis have become a main topic of researchers, especially after the recent global crisis started in 2007. Although the topic is highly relevant for current research, crisis models widely used were not able to predict the big crash. In the present paper we focus on surveying the empirical literature on the subject and try to find out what went wrong with the existing models. In the case study we perform a cluster analysis in order to observe the differences between advanced and emerging economies in what concerns the effects of the financial crisis.

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    Article provided by Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER in its journal Theoretical and Applied Economics.

    Volume (Year): XXII (2015)
    Issue (Month): 1(602), Spring (Spring)
    Pages: 291-300

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    Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:xxii:y:2015:i:1(602):p:291-300
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    1. Luis Ignacio Jácome, 2008. "Central Bank Involvement in Banking Crises in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 08/135, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Stephane Dees & Pedro Soares Brinca, 2013. "Consumer confidence as a predictor of consumption spending: Evidence for the United States and the Euro area," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 134, pages 1-14.
    3. Reinhart, Carmen M. & Rogoff, Kenneth S., 2013. "Banking crises: An equal opportunity menace," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4557-4573.
    4. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2015. "Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises: Some Lessons Learned and Those Forgotten," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(4), pages 5-17, June.
    5. Kenny, Geoff & Morgan, Julian, 2011. "Some lessons from the financial crisis for the economic analysis," Occasional Paper Series 130, European Central Bank.
    6. Anginer, Deniz & Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, 2014. "Has the global banking system become more fragile over time?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 202-213.
    7. Gabe de Bondt, 2009. "Predictive content of the stock market for output revisited," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(13), pages 1289-1294.
    8. Mishkin, Frederic S., 1999. "Lessons from the Tequila Crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(10), pages 1521-1533, October.
    9. Kauko, Karlo, 2014. "How to foresee banking crises? A survey of the empirical literature," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 289-308.
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