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Monetary policy and sunspot fluctuation in the U.S. and the Euro area

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  • Hirose, Yasuo

Abstract

We estimate a two-country open economy version of the New Keynesian DSGE model for the U.S. and the Euro area, using Bayesian techniques that allow for both determinacy and indeterminacy of the equilibrium. Our empirical analysis shows that the worldwide equilibrium is indeterminate due to a passive monetary policy in the Euro area, even if U.S. policy is aggressive enough. We demonstrate that the impulse responses under indeterminacy exhibit different dynamics than those under determinacy and that sunspot shocks affect the Euro economy to a substantial degree, while the transmission of sunspots to the U.S. is limited.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 33693.

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Date of creation: Nov 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:33693

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Keywords: Monetary Policy; Indeterminacy; Sunspot Shock; Open Economy Model; Bayesian Analysis;

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Cited by:
  1. Ippei Fujiwara & Yasuo Hirose, 2012. "Indeterminacy and Forecastability," CAMA Working Papers 2012-48, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  2. Farmer, Roger E A & Khramov, Vadim, 2013. "Solving and Estimating Indeterminate DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 9663, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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