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Making the most of High Inflation

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  • Wojciech Charemza
  • Svetlana Makarova
  • Imran Shah

Abstract

The paper analyses inflationary real effects in situation where there are frequent episodes of high inflation. It is conjectured with the increase in high inflation, and when differences between the expected and output-neutral inflation become large, output stimulation through inflationary shocks is more effective than otherwise. It is shown that this conjecture is valid for most countries with high inflation episodes, where inflation is greater than 4.8% for at least 25% of quarterly observations. This leads to a simple policy prescription that anti-inflationary monetary decisions should be undertaken in periods where the expected inflation exceeds output-neutral.

Suggested Citation

  • Wojciech Charemza & Svetlana Makarova & Imran Shah, 2013. "Making the most of High Inflation," Discussion Papers in Economics 13/01, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
    • Handle: RePEc:lec:leecon:13/01
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    1. Monetary stimulus in high-inflation regimes
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2013-03-06 21:17:00

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    High Inflation Episodes; Real Effects Indicators; Developing Countries; Impulse Response Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • N15 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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