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Are Crises Good for Long-Term Growth? The Role of Political Institutions

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Author Info
Eduardo A. Cavallo ()
Alberto Cavallo

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Abstract

This paper provides empirical evidence for the importance of institutions in determining the outcome of crises on long-term growth. Once unobserved country-specific effects and other sources of endogeneity are accounted for, political institutions affect growth through their interaction with crises. The results suggest that only countries with strong democracies, high levels of political competition and external constraints on government can potentially benefit from crises and use them as opportunities to enhance long-term output per capita and productivity growth.

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Paper provided by Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department in its series RES Working Papers with number 4589.

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Date of creation: Sep 2008
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Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:4589

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