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Dynamic microeconomic models of fertility choice: A survey

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  • Cristino R. Arroyo

    (Department of International Economics, Johns Hopkins University, Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, 1740 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20036-1984, USA (Fax:)

  • Junsen Zhang

    (Department of Economics, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, NT, Hong Kong (Fax:)

Abstract

We review existing approaches to the specification and estimation of dynamic microeconomic models of fertility. Dynamic fertility models explain the evolution of fertility variates over the life-cycle as the solution to a dynamic programming model involving economic choices. Dynamic models may be classified into structural and reduced-form models. Structural models generally require solution of the underlying dynamic programming problem. Reduced-form models, while based on a structural specification, do not. Recent innovations in estimation methodologies make both types practical and realistic alternatives to static models of lifetime fertility. JEL classification: J13, C41, C61

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Population Economics.

Volume (Year): 10 (1997)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 23-65

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Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:10:y:1997:i:1:p:23-65

Note: Received August 26, 1994/Accepted October 23, 1996
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Related research

Keywords: Fertility · dynamic micro models;

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Cited by:
  1. Namkee Ahn & Pedro Mira, . "Job bust, baby bust: The Spanish case," Studies on the Spanish Economy 12, FEDEA.
  2. Curtis Simon & Robert Tamura, 2010. "Secular Fertility Declines, Baby Booms and Economic Growth: International Evidence," 2010 Meeting Papers 1041, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  3. Leif Andreassen, 2004. "Mortality, fertility and old age care in a two-sex growth model," Discussion Papers, Research Department of Statistics Norway 378, Research Department of Statistics Norway.
  4. Adda, Jerome & Dustmann, Christian & Stevens, Katrien, 2011. "The Career Costs of Children," CEPR Discussion Papers 8697, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  5. Kazumasa Oguro & Shoichiro Yuyama, 2008. "A Study on Financial Deficit and Declining Birthrate  From the Viewpoint of “Children as a Social Security Revenue Sourceâ€Â," Development Economics Working Papers 22605, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  6. Alícia Adserà, 2004. "Changing fertility rates in developed countries. The impact of labor market institutions," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 17-43, February.
  7. Kazumasa Oguro & Shoichiro Yuyama, 2008. "A Study on Financial Deficit and Declining Birthrate - From the Viewpoint of "Children as a Social Security Revenue Source" -," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 4(1), pages 53-76, December.
  8. N. Picard-Tortorici, 2000. "An Original Framework for Studying Dynamic Fertility Models," THEMA Working Papers 2000-05, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
  9. Del Boca, Daniela & Locatelli, Marilena, 2006. "The Determinants of Motherhood and Work Status: A Survey," IZA Discussion Papers 2414, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  10. Juan Pantano & Qi Li, 2013. "The Demographic Consequences of Gender Selection Technology," 2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics 1161, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  11. Kevin M. Murphy & Curtis J. Simon & Robert Tamura, 2011. "Black and White Fertility, Differential Baby Booms: The Value of Civil Rights (Equal Opportunity for Education)," 2011 Meeting Papers 238, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  12. Van den Berg, Gerard J., 2001. "Duration models: specification, identification and multiple durations," Handbook of Econometrics, Elsevier, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 55, pages 3381-3460 Elsevier.
  13. Slonimczyk, Fabian & Yurko, Anna, 2013. "Assessing the Impact of the Maternity Capital Policy in Russia Using a Dynamic Model of Fertility and Employment," IZA Discussion Papers 7705, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  14. Jessica Todd & Paul Winters & Guy Stecklov, 2012. "Evaluating the impact of conditional cash transfer programs on fertility: the case of the Red de Protección Social in Nicaragua," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 267-290, January.
  15. Seebens, Holger, 2006. "Bargaining over Fertility in Rural Ethiopia," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Berlin 2006, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics 25, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
  16. Namkee Ahn & Pedro Mira, . "Job bust, baby bust: the Spanish case," Working Papers 99-06, FEDEA.
  17. Marit Rønsen, 2004. "Fertility and Public Policies - Evidence from Norway and Finland," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 10(6), pages 143-170, May.
  18. Wataru Kureishi & Midori Wakabayashi, 2011. "Son preference in Japan," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 873-893, July.

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